MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x343c3fcfd7202f653fd1cef112eee26d5e7ebf4bdde97c1555322a51f7d02b70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Reds, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $441,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Reds | 44c | 251,811$109,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,778.7 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Cardinals | 57c | 141,952$80,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,372.54 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Cardinals | 56c | 116,667$65,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,333.48 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Cardinals | 57c | 22,267$12,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,584.07 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Reds | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,599.98 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cardinals | 57c | 19,279$10,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,297.19 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 56c | 13,332$7,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,910.51 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 43c | 13,282$5,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,711.05 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cardinals | 57c | 11,548$6,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,965.77 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Reds | 43c | 8,451$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.01 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cardinals | 59c | 6,880$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,854.99 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Reds | 23c | 4,833$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.1 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 63c | 4,707$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.59 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cardinals | 56c | 4,400$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 57c | 4,351$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.68 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Cardinals | 73c | 4,096$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.26 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 12c | 4,065$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.13 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 35c | 3,637$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Reds | 44c | 3,327$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.07 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 64c | 2,349$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.24 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 55c | 2,195$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.58 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Cardinals | 63c | 2,020$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.04 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Reds | 30c | 2,000$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Reds | 43c | 1,976$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.68 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 43c | 1,709$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.87 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Cardinals | 69c | 1,601$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.82 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Reds | 1c | 1,574$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Reds | 36c | 1,402$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Cardinals | 57c | 1,199$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.74 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Reds | 30c | 1,088$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.69 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Reds | 42c | 958.28$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.29 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Reds | 43c | 952.32$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 63c | 795.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.98 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Reds | 42c | 775.05$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.52 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Reds | 43c | 738.43$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.52 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Reds | 31c | 610.74$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.33 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Reds | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Reds | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Reds | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 44c | 499.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Reds | 42c | 482.83$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.79 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Reds | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Reds | 44c | 449.4$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.74 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Reds | 43c | 414$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.96 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 42c | 360.38$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.36 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Cardinals | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals | 59c | 299.81$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Reds | 42c | 281.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 66c | 276.91$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Reds | 41c | 255.06$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Reds | 42c | 245.24$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Reds | 44c | 234$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Reds | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…7a65backed Cardinals | 56c | 214.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Cardinals | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Reds | 41c | 196.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Cardinals | 56c | 178.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Cardinals | 67c | 177.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 10c | 125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…4b3ebacked Reds | 25c | 124$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Reds | 43c | 121.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Reds | 44c | 119.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Reds | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Reds | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Cardinals | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Cardinals | 78c | 98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 75c | 97.53$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Reds | 45c | 93.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Reds | 14c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Cardinals | 56c | 89.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Cardinals | 56c | 88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Cardinals | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Reds | 14c | 84.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Reds | 46c | 82.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Reds | 44c | 78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Reds | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Reds | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Cardinals | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Reds | 35c | 67.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Reds | 27c | 66.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 43c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Reds | 36c | 62.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Cardinals | 58c | 62.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…1d01backed Cardinals | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Reds | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Reds | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…022bbacked Reds | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…c5e1backed Reds | 43c | 54.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Reds | 43c | 51.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Reds | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d2…6b85backed Cardinals | 55c | 46.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f92…35a7backed Reds | 47c | 46.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.