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NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof 76ers, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$392,168
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$409,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,168 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers0c128,096$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.11,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Raptors76c24,774$18,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,000.8822049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked 76ers18c17,249$3,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.0333931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Raptors61c15,430$9,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,017.6611443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked 76ers39c14,350$5,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,647.291,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Raptors56c12,429$6,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,468.977647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed 76ers44c11,364$4,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,990.1420238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed 76ers44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors56c8,087$4,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,531.41,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed 76ers20c6,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22029747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed 76ers29c5,850$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.5834532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers41c5,077$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.581,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked 76ers1c5,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked 76ers0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Raptors59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,05036057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed 76ers12c4,002$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.411,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed 76ers37c3,244$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.3537448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked 76ers3c3,175$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.988783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked 76ers35c3,140$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.119437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked 76ers39c2,821$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1009247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Raptors54c2,631$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.3646426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked 76ers44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed Raptors60c2,396$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.8320553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ae7…4602backed Raptors65c2,192$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.341973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed 76ers37c2,064$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.649836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed 76ers40c2,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79024855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed 76ers10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x310d…b64dbacked 76ers39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7804330.2%13 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Raptors76c1,955$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.2525865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed 76ers2c1,725$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.777502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Raptors61c1,611$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.6173051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Raptors61c1,571$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.2270640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Raptors62c1,506$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.1176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9dd…a1d9backed Raptors62c1,502$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.76875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed 76ers38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6e…ba8dbacked 76ers38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74cf…8833backed Raptors63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.981145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed 76ers39c1,421$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Raptors63c1,269$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.231346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Raptors57c1,194$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.0916563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53f4…8c52backed 76ers38c1,068$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.8610540%42 W · 63 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers24c1,012$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.365,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Raptors56c1,007$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44361345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x542b…4b76backed 76ers44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-54.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed 76ers8c960.53$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Raptors63c800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.0551037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe7…593bbacked 76ers42c793.46$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41fc…83f3backed 76ers40c694.34$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed 76ers37c684.38$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Raptors60c657.99$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.0637734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2f2…7a3bbacked Raptors60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+77.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Raptors67c597.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0912759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Raptors57c568.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.6757760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors63c555.12$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.861,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Raptors59c549.99$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.994731.9%15 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors56c536$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.841,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed 76ers36c522.7$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1746342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed 76ers39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d6…6de3backed 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5810…fa44backed 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152532%8 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe314…89d3backed Raptors57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-52%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3ff7…d8d0backed 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152425%6 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x29c8…417fbacked 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152536%9 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x957b…51ffbacked 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x775a…99c3backed 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef9…6c4abacked 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b1…9b41backed 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152931%9 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x777b…4ae7backed Raptors57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153056.7%17 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5b…b3febacked Raptors57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152733.3%9 W · 18 L-6.5wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-35.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7ee4…8328backed 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2153135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddd1…13d5backed 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2153250%16 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf140…e4bdbacked Raptors57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153043.3%13 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x8142…2427backed Raptors57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba1…8a72backed 76ers42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x186e…2112backed Raptors57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-42.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc98b…676dbacked 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2153234.4%11 W · 21 L-8.1wins-0.25per pick60cpaid-38.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x01b5…c95bbacked Raptors57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6092…87d4backed Raptors58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d8d…b23ebacked Raptors57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe650…7c43backed Raptors57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa045…c005backed Raptors58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd451…2002backed 76ers42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-40.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb95…80fbbacked 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc4…3caabacked 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3cf…1071backed 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb08a…e5e8backed 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xaa94…f4b4backed 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d29…baf9backed 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd84b…f78ebacked Raptors57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a39…7209backed Raptors57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05b8…4f4cbacked 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152528%7 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc54f…3e09backed 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Raptors65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…64d5backed Raptors57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x770c…9a9cbacked Raptors57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152560%15 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb571…7805backed 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2153145.2%14 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-24.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca38…e7b5backed 76ers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa26a…84fdbacked Raptors58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7d4…e4ffbacked 76ers42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdecc…2babbacked Raptors57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153070%21 W · 9 L+6.6wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+58%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.