NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb07aa2f85b81177e15f567fd0fdd2c2134386541e1ead316967b4b6301ac465
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Suns, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $436,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $452,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Suns | 59c | 41,042$24,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,115.66 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies | 44c | 36,748$16,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,426.38 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Suns | 28c | 19,821$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.97 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Grizzlies | 70c | 12,300$8,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Suns | 28c | 11,511$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.13 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Grizzlies | 77c | 9,288$7,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.08 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 7,304$4,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.43 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Grizzlies | 70c | 6,500$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 46c | 6,359$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.86 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Suns | 42c | 5,639$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.71 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 72c | 5,050$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.04 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Grizzlies | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Suns | 61c | 4,468$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.23 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Suns | 28c | 4,271$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Grizzlies | 74c | 4,011$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.47 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Grizzlies | 72c | 3,786$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.07 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Suns | 25c | 3,415$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.56 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 69c | 3,390$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.11 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Suns | 42c | 3,333$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.63 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Suns | 31c | 3,128$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.94 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Suns | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.98 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Suns | 32c | 2,989$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Grizzlies | 56c | 2,925$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.73 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Grizzlies | 58c | 2,910$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.79 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 73c | 2,869$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.13 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Grizzlies | 46c | 2,780$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.03 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Grizzlies | 57c | 2,755$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.77 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Grizzlies | 72c | 2,593$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.17 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Grizzlies | 72c | 2,350$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.53 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Grizzlies | 71c | 2,021$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.79 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 55c | 1,996$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.24 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6178…f9a9backed Suns | 52c | 1,932$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Grizzlies | 72c | 1,807$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.27 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Suns | 4c | 1,793$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Suns | 68c | 1,731$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.07 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Grizzlies | 43c | 1,700$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Suns | 57c | 1,696$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.69 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Grizzlies | 73c | 1,634$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.1 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Suns | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 1,594$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.54 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Suns | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Grizzlies | 73c | 1,474$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.92 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,428$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.81 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Grizzlies | 73c | 1,260$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.12 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Suns | 43c | 1,253$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Suns | 28c | 1,250$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked Suns | 4c | 1,180$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Suns | 41c | 1,174$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.04 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Suns | 39c | 1,026$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.45 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Suns | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Suns | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Grizzlies | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…e4a7backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Suns | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies | 71c | 993.98$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.25 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Grizzlies | 71c | 971.08$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.8 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3d…8ed3backed Grizzlies | 60c | 964.99$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Grizzlies | 69c | 955.16$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Suns | 37c | 950$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.8 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb06…630ebacked Grizzlies | 56c | 892.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Suns | 38c | 851.83$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 796.44$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.72 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Suns | 13c | 794.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Grizzlies | 73c | 767.72$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.28 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Suns | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Suns | 27c | 705$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.12 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Grizzlies | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Suns | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Grizzlies | 43c | 675.65$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.27 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Suns | 27c | 633.33$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Grizzlies | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Suns | 30c | 557.14$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.14 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Suns | 27c | 504.33$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.75 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 504.19$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.14 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Suns | 27c | 500.02$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.01 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Grizzlies | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Grizzlies | 74c | 499.97$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Grizzlies | 47c | 475.75$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.02 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Suns | 44c | 453.84$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Suns | 40c | 451.3$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.52 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8b82backed Grizzlies | 50c | 449.4$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Grizzlies | 70c | 443.86$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.46 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies | 56c | 440.41$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.82 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…d133backed Suns | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Suns | 53c | 427.85$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.76 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Grizzlies | 27c | 427.16$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.49 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…4ad1backed Grizzlies | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Grizzlies | 74c | 400$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Suns | 70c | 393.32$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.32 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Suns | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Suns | 28c | 363.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Suns | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd9…2af2backed Suns | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Suns | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Grizzlies | 58c | 344.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.07 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Grizzlies | 73c | 325.4$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.