Asian League · resolved market
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd280531d0c8cbcc24e957d2f3228672f05944858c4fe509335dafc51f5597a6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 55c | 7,056$3,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.39 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 5,937$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.99 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,545$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.87 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 1,354$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.69 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 5c | 1,212$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 34c | 995$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.4 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 66c | 957.3$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.82 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 52c | 798$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 62c | 578$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 30c | 503.5$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 69c | 489$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.15 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 72c | 456.3$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.22 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 5c | 407.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 65c | 395$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.83 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 30c | 340$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 268.03$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.62 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 70c | 244.69$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.28 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 5c | 215$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed No | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…37dabacked Yes | 69c | 126.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 43c | 110.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 28c | 107.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 31c | 94.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 28c | 82.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 80.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Yes | 53c | 74.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…e33fbacked Yes | 64c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…5622backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 28c | 68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 30c | 66.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked No | 32c | 61.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 59.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…4c5abacked No | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 34c | 52.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed No | 37c | 52.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37e…2988backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…842bbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 41c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 46.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed No | 28c | 46.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 64c | 44.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 68c | 44.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 70c | 42.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 74c | 39.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 73c | 37.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…c817backed Yes | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 72c | 33.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 73c | 30.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…9499backed Yes | 79c | 28.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed No | 62c | 17.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-02-03?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-02-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.