Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-02-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb849dbd22ad3caf6245d88175cf550d93a4dd8ed3db828d47e054ed7da91826
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 6,388$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.01 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 18c | 4,495$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.82 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 17c | 3,811$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.77 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 3,811$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.9 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 20c | 3,205$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.25 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 26c | 2,115$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 71c | 2,100$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe195…d265backed Yes | 80c | 1,675$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 18c | 1,649$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.76 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 79c | 1,249$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.21 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 3c | 1,206$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 18c | 1,202$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 18c | 1,150$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 17c | 942.92$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.62 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Yes | 75c | 900$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 19c | 786.55$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 18c | 766.49$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 22c | 678.85$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.35 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 18c | 555.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 21c | 428.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 21c | 365.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed No | 16c | 349.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 19c | 342.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…a1f2backed Yes | 75c | 308$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed Yes | 75c | 270$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 17c | 265$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 79c | 227.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 10c | 198.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 72c | 194.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 12c | 174.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed No | 26c | 164$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed No | 19c | 160.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 75c | 159.22$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed No | 23c | 148.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 19c | 120.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked No | 20c | 104$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 78c | 98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 11c | 95.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 75c | 82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 15c | 81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed No | 23c | 73.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed No | 19c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked No | 18c | 69.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 15c | 69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 18c | 64.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 19c | 63.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…842bbacked No | 21c | 60.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 20c | 60.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 80c | 58.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked No | 22c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56b…d536backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…2b47backed Yes | 75c | 44.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Yes | 73c | 36.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Yes | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Yes | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Yes | 77c | 29.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 78c | 26.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…3ba3backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d4…2ba1backed Yes | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 77c | 13.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Yes | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-02-05?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-02-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.