TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Penguins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Penguins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,740 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe4be…db5cbacked Blue Jackets43c10,033$4,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,718.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9570…398dbacked Penguins57c10,030$5,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,717.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Blue Jackets42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.975843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Penguins58c3,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00015261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Penguins0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Blue Jackets41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.9931849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Penguins59c2,921$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.4886649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Penguins72c1,403$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.053,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Penguins58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1233…9adabacked Blue Jackets29c792.43$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.041080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+63%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83f9…912cbacked Penguins58c698.28$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+56.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a21…7cfcbacked Blue Jackets43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Blue Jackets42c601.77$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.039153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jackets57c569.63$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.941,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Blue Jackets42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2904452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd45…63bfbacked Blue Jackets42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins56c499.94$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.961,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Blue Jackets43c498$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.863650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Blue Jackets41c460.14$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.735545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jackets32c459.09$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.3244848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Penguins44c455$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Blue Jackets41c362.36$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7911145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Blue Jackets44c316.65$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.6524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins54c299.97$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.981,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jackets45c294.44$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.941,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Penguins58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Blue Jackets43c238.19$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.772245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blue Jackets42c223.69$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.931,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Blue Jackets47c222$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6672448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Penguins68c203.31$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.834045%18 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Blue Jackets42c201.71$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9972444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Blue Jackets52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9620540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19e…461abacked Penguins57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Penguins59c200$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11750049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Blue Jackets42c195.22$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2348654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac9…c4b5backed Penguins58c189$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0408…3049backed Blue Jackets42c189$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.62475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+92.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30e7…c0a5backed Penguins58c175.15$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Penguins59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb989…8eb8backed Penguins58c164.21$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Penguins57c149.77$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6719150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa29b…c961backed Blue Jackets44c141.49$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f55…2cd0backed Penguins58c138.6$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.39425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blue Jackets14c132.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Penguins57c130.11$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Penguins57c105$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8579251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3098…f886backed Penguins59c102.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Penguins56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5613953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe327…ec05backed Penguins58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Blue Jackets41c99.97$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9881846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a64…647dbacked Blue Jackets44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.912045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba4…8964backed Blue Jackets43c83.72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.722347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9c…842bbacked Penguins59c83.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+64.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x35af…4655backed Blue Jackets62c82.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.772065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd811…af45backed Penguins58c76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf934…9f73backed Penguins41c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.45046%23 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ed…00f0backed Penguins58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…86dabacked Penguins59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47ce…95d1backed Blue Jackets43c67.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d2…0767backed Blue Jackets42c67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb36…a262backed Penguins58c66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Penguins56c60.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6229847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc550…bd03backed Penguins59c59.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x345c…8cbcbacked Blue Jackets44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.821090%9 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick55cpaid+66.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Blue Jackets40c56.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.441851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Penguins57c55.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7647249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Penguins58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304663%29 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0173…fc0fbacked Blue Jackets42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1e…7ba5backed Penguins53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9b…4193backed Blue Jackets43c48.95$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.91250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3097…a2cabacked Penguins58c48.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.341136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0a…33efbacked Blue Jackets44c46.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Blue Jackets44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.452653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36c…baadbacked Blue Jackets43c44.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Penguins57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c4a…2d55backed Penguins58c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x353b…8031backed Blue Jackets42c43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Penguins59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4c1…8a8fbacked Blue Jackets42c42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6388…8f27backed Penguins58c42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7328…508ebacked Penguins58c41.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4012…ada5backed Blue Jackets42c41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54aa…61cfbacked Penguins58c41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc17…d9d7backed Penguins57c40.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4556…13b0backed Blue Jackets43c40.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc919…6468backed Penguins58c39.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b8…858fbacked Blue Jackets42c39.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba4…ab0abacked Penguins56c39.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadba…d545backed Blue Jackets42c39.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85cb…4068backed Penguins59c37.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4447…a7f4backed Blue Jackets43c37.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9da…4be7backed Penguins57c37.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1663…b1b3backed Penguins59c37.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa41a…b7a2backed Penguins58c37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fc…6ef6backed Blue Jackets42c36.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6d6…c808backed Penguins58c36.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25a5…b12cbacked Penguins58c36.27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef6…6a3dbacked Blue Jackets47c35.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ff…ebd7backed Blue Jackets43c35.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6336…c1a2backed Blue Jackets42c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.