Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3795b9fea94dc994cedc750c8a2f9dcb6be92ff6ab71de39d35cb8a3c309caf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 21c | 6,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 79c | 5,827$4,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 1,169$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.63 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 992.82$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.2 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 882.45$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.24 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 794.57$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.57 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 764.35$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.81 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 7c | 572.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 417.71$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 75c | 283.25$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 19c | 241$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 13c | 238$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Yes | 9c | 210$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 205.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 143.62$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed No | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 22c | 70.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…842bbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac3…1a9dbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 75c | 42.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 31.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed No | 75c | 23.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 72c | 21.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 73c | 14.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?Yes won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.