Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Antalyaspor vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d400632be3d850aebd2ae723dcbd33c22e20018862ccb3fdd360e2ecd5dde72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 70c | 3,160$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 3,115$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.5 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 30c | 2,323$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.77 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 2,297$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.33 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 30c | 2,279$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.7 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 1,963$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.27 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,842$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.71 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…e44abacked No | 71c | 1,463$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 1,376$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.11 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 14c | 635$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 500.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.11 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 24c | 321.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…cf88backed Yes | 15c | 243.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 70c | 233$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Yes | 15c | 204.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 70c | 195.72$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 190.71$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 175.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed No | 79c | 138$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 70c | 132$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 15c | 100.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…0101backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked No | 74c | 80.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 77c | 72.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 70c | 68.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 28c | 65.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed No | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…842bbacked Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d5…37e6backed No | 70c | 38.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7059…0116backed No | 72c | 21.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Antalyaspor vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-02-13?Yes won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-02-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.