NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2119819388b205ae1bd87bb37a91f04dc4989a50d1884d32d7b76b83cacdc6c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Hornets, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Hornets | 15c | 30,191$4,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.98 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Hornets | 29c | 12,712$3,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663.19 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…61eebacked Magic | 71c | 12,575$8,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,646.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 16c | 10,050$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Magic | 77c | 8,000$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…3377backed Hornets | 16c | 6,534$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…42cfbacked Hornets | 16c | 6,207$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 3c | 6,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Hornets | 8c | 4,182$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.29 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Hornets | 15c | 3,655$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.01 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Hornets | 4c | 3,139$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hornets | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Hornets | 14c | 2,578$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.31 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Hornets | 40c | 2,566$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.28 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Hornets | 17c | 2,549$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.46 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Hornets | 15c | 2,400$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 14c | 2,360$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Hornets | 18c | 2,309$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.03 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets | 9c | 2,119$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…029cbacked Hornets | 15c | 1,920$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Hornets | 26c | 1,900$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…d34abacked Hornets | 21c | 1,879$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…49bbbacked Hornets | 14c | 1,800$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6624…e722backed Hornets | 14c | 1,500$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Hornets | 9c | 1,456$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.81 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…a277backed Hornets | 13c | 1,448$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Hornets | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Hornets | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x853a…f509backed Hornets | 30c | 1,240$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hornets | 1c | 1,090$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Hornets | 15c | 1,048$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.23 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Hornets | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Hornets | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hornets | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Hornets | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Hornets | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Hornets | 15c | 999.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets | 1c | 897$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…ff3bbacked Hornets | 14c | 783.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Hornets | 26c | 680.89$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Hornets | 16c | 678.19$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Magic | 69c | 675$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.75 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…7cdabacked Hornets | 16c | 656.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a2…70d9backed Hornets | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Hornets | 16c | 611.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets | 17c | 604.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…2932backed Hornets | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hornets | 17c | 571.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Hornets | 14c | 560.05$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Hornets | 16c | 551.18$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.18 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets | 15c | 538.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a0…8694backed Hornets | 19c | 526.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea0…af8dbacked Hornets | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…4988backed Hornets | 19c | 521.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Hornets | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Hornets | 7c | 484.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…e042backed Hornets | 16c | 474.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Hornets | 16c | 460.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…db6abacked Hornets | 16c | 449.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Magic | 80c | 435.36$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…6063backed Magic | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hornets | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Hornets | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Hornets | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…782bbacked Hornets | 22c | 391.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Hornets | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4a…ad65backed Hornets | 31c | 344$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8906…b442backed Magic | 71c | 340$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Hornets | 16c | 337.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Hornets | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hornets | 14c | 329.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Hornets | 17c | 313.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Hornets | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Hornets | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Hornets | 15c | 310.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Hornets | 16c | 302.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Hornets | 28c | 301.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Hornets | 16c | 300.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…f39fbacked Hornets | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb869…c4c6backed Hornets | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Hornets | 29c | 263.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…4bb7backed Hornets | 18c | 262.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Hornets | 16c | 249.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked Hornets | 8c | 245.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1938…6587backed Hornets | 15c | 229.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Magic | 78c | 213.04$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…ac98backed Hornets | 11c | 212.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Hornets | 15c | 210$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…57efbacked Hornets | 16c | 206.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets | 17c | 199.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…042bbacked Hornets | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0279…6774backed Hornets | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…dc04backed Hornets | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Hornets | 13c | 161.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…842bbacked Hornets | 15c | 160.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Hornets | 16c | 156.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hornets | 28c | 151.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Hornets | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7240backed Hornets | 16c | 132.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.