NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Jets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bf91b2b35900ada54aac651effb10973d4a387ef07ab0976dfc33b553d508fd

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Red Wingsof Red Wings, Jets
Resolved: Jan 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $32,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,313 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x977a…f2cabacked Jets	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,163	2.3%27 W · 1,136 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Red Wings	33c	2,000$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,339.74	318	49.4%157 W · 161 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Red Wings	38c	1,462$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$906.22	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jets	34c	1,000$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335	1,025	40.8%418 W · 607 L	+15.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jets	67c	999.98$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.98	851	48.5%413 W · 438 L	-48.2wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Red Wings	69c	927.2$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.98	133	61.7%82 W · 51 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets	67c	755.79$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.5	1,037	55%570 W · 467 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Jets	68c	735.29$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4205…46a7backed Red Wings	57c	701.75$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.75	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Jets	51c	700.39$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Jets	10c	678.78$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.44	313	34.8%109 W · 204 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jets	5c	563.96$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.97	745	0.7%5 W · 740 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-94.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Jets	52c	562.81$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.66	413	40%165 W · 248 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Red Wings	38c	560$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.58	182	37.9%69 W · 113 L	+29.4wins	+0.16per pick	22cpaid	+202.9%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9860…ea56backed Jets	61c	535$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.85	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets	68c	500$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.95	1,039	55.2%574 W · 465 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068b…9301backed Jets	54c	500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	62cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Jets	66c	494.01$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.05	165	54.5%90 W · 75 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings	32c	457.39$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.03	1,475	48.3%712 W · 763 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Jets	67c	447.76$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-3.1wins	-0.39per pick	64cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Red Wings	33c	440.63$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.32	840	51.4%432 W · 408 L	+19.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jets	32c	412.98$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.63	928	48.5%450 W · 478 L	+17.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6274…f988backed Jets	57c	400$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	62cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jets	25c	319.67$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.01	913	34.1%311 W · 602 L	-27.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Red Wings	33c	303.03$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.03	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	+5.3wins	+0.11per pick	36cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Jets	67c	300$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	-6.7wins	-0.12per pick	63cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Jets	67c	298.51$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	243	47.7%116 W · 127 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Jets	46c	298.02$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.51	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Red Wings	34c	294.12$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.12	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce73…70a9backed Red Wings	49c	250$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.5	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Red Wings	43c	234.64$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.64	724	48.3%350 W · 374 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Red Wings	34c	220.89$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.79	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings	33c	204.99$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.33	724	44.6%323 W · 401 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…66a1backed Red Wings	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Jets	43c	199.99$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	119	51.3%61 W · 58 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Jets	51c	199.98$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.99	818	46%376 W · 442 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Red Wings	33c	181.98$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.92	418	51.4%215 W · 203 L	+14.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Red Wings	33c	163.01$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.22	792	51.1%405 W · 387 L	+21.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Jets	61c	154.99$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	249	45.8%114 W · 135 L	-11.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Jets	46c	150$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings	68c	139.97$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.27	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Red Wings	33c	133.33$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.33	486	54.1%263 W · 223 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Red Wings	60c	123$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.4	854	64.2%548 W · 306 L	+64.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea27…8a0bbacked Jets	67c	120.87$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.98	53	47.2%25 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Red Wings	62c	112.03$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.03	46	63%29 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets	65c	106.39$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.15	669	51%341 W · 328 L	-14.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Jets	65c	100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Jets	59c	99.99$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.49	301	55.1%166 W · 135 L	+17.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Jets	66c	99.96$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.97	500	49.4%247 W · 253 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b97…bd26backed Red Wings	38c	93.23$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.23	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+15%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jets	39c	86.39$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.11	355	45.4%161 W · 194 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac29…fa88backed Jets	67c	74.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	67cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Jets	67c	74.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	198	52.5%104 W · 94 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Jets	67c	74.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	135	62.2%84 W · 51 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x089d…f416backed Jets	67c	73.39$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.17	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.40per pick	65cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb28b…e410backed Jets	55c	73.24$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.19	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	62cpaid	-52%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Jets	67c	67.16$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	69	59.4%41 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe35a…1bd9backed Jets	65c	64.05$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.64	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-2.1wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d57…3bd3backed Jets	62c	64.01$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Jets	67c	62.72$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.02	731	57.5%420 W · 311 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…ec57backed Red Wings	58c	60$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9c…842bbacked Red Wings	34c	58.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.8wins	+0.26per pick	54cpaid	+64.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0fd3…06a8backed Jets	67c	58.21$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89cf…4643backed Jets	66c	54.97$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.29	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Jets	46c	54.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.26	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc73b…4a40backed Jets	67c	52.24$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Jets	39c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c9…e1a5backed Red Wings	34c	42.76$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.22	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+109.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd970…3e65backed Red Wings	36c	40$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.6	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe973…7005backed Jets	67c	40$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.8	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-5.6wins	-0.14per pick	60cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c49…e389backed Red Wings	34c	39.72$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.22	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b43…c293backed Jets	66c	39.63$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.16	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Jets	66c	37.88$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	190	57.9%110 W · 80 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0111…1d60backed Jets	66c	37.78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3387…68a7backed Jets	66c	36.22$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.91	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x690a…86f6backed Red Wings	34c	35.66$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.53	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec2…9276backed Red Wings	34c	34.9$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.03	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	43cpaid	+98.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x210c…cd59backed Jets	67c	34.89$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.37	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5d7b…6a7abacked Red Wings	33c	34.89$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.37	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06b5…0270backed Red Wings	33c	34.79$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.31	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…eb2bbacked Red Wings	34c	34.75$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.94	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bdb…22debacked Red Wings	35c	34.32$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.32	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb7…70dabacked Red Wings	35c	34.29$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.29	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa12e…57febacked Red Wings	33c	33.27$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.29	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1864…7519backed Jets	67c	33.27$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.29	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6802…6756backed Jets	66c	32.26$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.29	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	63cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb067…4362backed Red Wings	34c	31.08$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.51	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e25…6e06backed Jets	65c	31.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62cf…bbccbacked Red Wings	35c	30.82$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.04	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a06…f37ebacked Jets	66c	30.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.26	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e2…5a14backed Red Wings	34c	30.7$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.26	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	43cpaid	+80.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Jets	66c	30.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	123	69.9%86 W · 37 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b3…3d1fbacked Red Wings	34c	30.26$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.97	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc4…3f9bbacked Red Wings	34c	30.07$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.85	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	39cpaid	+72.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a6…c13fbacked Jets	67c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc22…ee03backed Jets	67c	29.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-3.0wins	-0.50per pick	66cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Jets	67c	29.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	76	59.2%45 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb144…8db4backed Jets	67c	29.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8247…714dbacked Jets	67c	29.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.16per pick	61cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x718e…88ecbacked Jets	66c	29.76$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.64	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Red Wings vs. Jets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market