Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Alexander Shevchenko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x152a4aabe22c049d5d1706aebbcce47c879b8ef7346216f1ba368f33d15316da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Humbertof Humbert, Shevchenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Shevchenko | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Humbert | 76c | 4,122$3,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.89 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Humbert | 76c | 2,566$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.79 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Shevchenko | 25c | 2,217$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.28 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Shevchenko | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Shevchenko | 2c | 1,900$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Shevchenko | 6c | 1,755$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Shevchenko | 19c | 1,445$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.5 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Shevchenko | 24c | 1,352$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Humbert | 78c | 1,283$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Humbert | 76c | 1,125$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shevchenko | 20c | 1,025$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Humbert | 76c | 850$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.98 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Humbert | 77c | 607.81$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.8 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Shevchenko | 22c | 593.87$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Humbert | 75c | 353.36$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Shevchenko | 8c | 258.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shevchenko | 9c | 228.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Humbert | 77c | 147.42$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Shevchenko | 23c | 143.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Shevchenko | 25c | 141.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…6678backed Humbert | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…07aabacked Humbert | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 167 | 62.9%105 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Humbert | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Shevchenko | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…453cbacked Humbert | 76c | 124.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Shevchenko | 23c | 101.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Humbert | 75c | 101.07$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Shevchenko | 16c | 100.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Humbert | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Shevchenko | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Humbert | 73c | 96.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…63c8backed Humbert | 78c | 74.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…30d9backed Humbert | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Humbert | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bef…b7c2backed Humbert | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Humbert | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…d574backed Humbert | 77c | 26.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…1770backed Humbert | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5163…9a4fbacked Humbert | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Humbert | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Humbert | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Humbert | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Humbert | 77c | 13.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.