Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will BK Häcken win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd99c772458840282795f009eb89a515f6fc1733c877380fc97e94650d5d0cb20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6cb…4a0cbacked Yes | 34c | 2,966$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 1,531$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.97 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 39c | 1,525$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.57 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 1,352$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.58 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 60c | 1,029$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.42 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 999.13$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.96 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…cd55backed No | 61c | 988$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…0d2dbacked Yes | 3c | 634.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 438.9$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.13 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 34c | 426.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 62c | 399.98$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 60c | 353.69$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.48 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 38c | 232.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 37c | 202.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 32c | 118.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 67c | 95.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c0…bf69backed No | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 63c | 71.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked No | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 40c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 38c | 60.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 60c | 57.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46a…e9dbbacked Yes | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 39c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…25dbbacked Yes | 40c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 61c | 42.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 60c | 39.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Yes | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 30c | 36.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 40c | 30.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed No | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed No | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 40c | 25.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 62c | 24.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 67c | 19.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked No | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed No | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BK Häcken win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. BK Häcken end in a draw?No won
- Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2025-12-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.