Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. BK Häcken end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacc7679cb70059f45ed992f9e64880688e871673e95d962c23e029abcc7e057e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 75c | 2,588$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 25c | 1,368$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.93 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,167$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.9 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 74c | 768.03$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 33c | 306.9$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 19c | 202.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 176.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 73c | 168.76$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 134.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 27c | 102$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 76c | 77.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 118 | 69.5%82 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed No | 56c | 67.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 25c | 67.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 45c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 74c | 39.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 34.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 30.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 53c | 30.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 23.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. BK Häcken end in a draw?this page
- Will BK Häcken win on 2025-12-18?No won
- Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2025-12-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.