Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9891720814bfd79b8efa7a55f76eaa8c75b64501882f801419af1bdc47c27ed3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 64c | 2,644$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.97 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,411$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.81 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 31c | 1,366$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.91 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,210$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 1,056$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.89 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 647.81$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.4 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 619.73$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.61 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 35c | 610$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.5 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Yes | 66c | 486.36$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.36 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 320.64$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.79 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 12c | 187$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 35c | 184.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.28 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 70c | 149$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 33c | 124.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 21c | 102.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 33c | 79.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 33c | 77.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df3…9155backed No | 64c | 76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 32c | 76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 34c | 74.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b7…64ccbacked Yes | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 32.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed No | 66c | 23.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Hull City AFC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?No won
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.