Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3013f37500ec07d1e4fc2268d9e1576c87e7893b93339ee3abe7bee704fccc1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 61c | 4,647$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 38c | 2,763$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.5 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 2,299$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.29 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…c529backed Yes | 34c | 1,580$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 1,323$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.83 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 64c | 1,303$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 1,019$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.64 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…348dbacked Yes | 43c | 997.65$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c0…72f1backed Yes | 34c | 915$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a5…6895backed No | 66c | 910$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…4febbacked Yes | 33c | 730$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…8635backed No | 66c | 705$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 39c | 700$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 698$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.32 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…b384backed No | 66c | 670$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…4fc0backed Yes | 76c | 663.75$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.07 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…295bbacked Yes | 33c | 610$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d2…0997backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…5db8backed No | 67c | 420$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 36c | 373.21$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.63 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 64c | 341.1$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.9 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa751…ba09backed No | 67c | 310$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 36c | 305.56$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 36c | 268.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…2edfbacked No | 66c | 210$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 39c | 184.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 35c | 165$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 63c | 143.74$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Yes | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +69%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 43c | 115.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06ba…2b97backed No | 67c | 110$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Yes | 36c | 101.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 36c | 83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…572fbacked No | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 63c | 73.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Yes | 36c | 71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9609…2236backed Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked No | 65c | 49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed No | 64c | 48.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 36c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1072…18ebbacked Yes | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b4…23c0backed Yes | 36c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed No | 65c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 59c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 65c | 36.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 41c | 34.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 58c | 24.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed No | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 68cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed No | 59c | 18.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed No | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 69cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa end in a draw?No won
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.