Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0405a74759a4ce201dcbb61594dbabd0f93e6b7b71e265f56edd9a45cbe47823
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7902…170cbacked Yes | 32c | 15,544$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 11,206$7,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630.24 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 3,189$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.64 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed No | 70c | 1,423$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.14 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,018$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 69c | 993.55$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 72c | 699.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 629.25$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.36 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 617.5$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.9 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 563.2$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.39 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 422$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…99e4backed Yes | 30c | 308$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 29c | 262.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa86…7414backed No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 33c | 198.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 179.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 59c | 123.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 119.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked No | 70c | 107$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…7e74backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 30c | 98.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 70c | 86.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 70cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 118 | 69.5%82 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked No | 70c | 79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 69c | 74.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Yes | 30c | 74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 28c | 71.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 70c | 68.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 70c | 58.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7582…f6b2backed No | 70c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 30c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Yes | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed No | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 37.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa9…4baabacked Yes | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed No | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed No | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed No | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…9782backed No | 71c | 21.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2025-12-18?No won
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2025-12-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.