La Liga · resolved market
Will Girona win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8936964dba9c06fabcaff38b12436bef38d948e2aff53ad8b221d0aa540c32f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 25c | 3,310$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 75c | 1,572$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 26c | 1,496$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.35 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 75c | 1,343$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.84 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.12 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 75c | 1,165$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.13 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 1,103$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.07 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 959.98$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.99 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 18c | 879.41$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked No | 73c | 677.95$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.05 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 3c | 642.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182c…3babbacked Yes | 27c | 510.96$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 26c | 500$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 492.35$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 4c | 443$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked No | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Yes | 6c | 299.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Yes | 26c | 257.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…29e9backed Yes | 7c | 245.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 26c | 228.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 219.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 217.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 16c | 184.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 74c | 164.78$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 26c | 156.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked Yes | 7c | 147.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…bbc5backed Yes | 27c | 137.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…27b6backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 74c | 116.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…42e3backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…ff39backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 74c | 86.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba7…ab1fbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed No | 74c | 80.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3aa…b3a1backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 71c | 73.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 74c | 69.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 185 | 64.9%120 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…3f54backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 78c | 55.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 53.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 71c | 37.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…f873backed Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 78c | 37.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 71c | 34.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked No | 76c | 26.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 74c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Girona win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will Elche CF vs. Girona end in a draw?No won
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.