Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Long Beach State Beach
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75fc5cd1c34019fed4463be608b2f27a10535aee1e052a9d56c217d580ffe861
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsof Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, Long Beach State Beach
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 74c | 1,893$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.27 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Long Beach State Beach | 27c | 1,736$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.27 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Long Beach State Beach | 27c | 1,558$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.93 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 78c | 1,151$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Long Beach State Beach | 6c | 488.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 64c | 215.83$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…b1d7backed Long Beach State Beach | 11c | 208.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…505abacked Long Beach State Beach | 33c | 201.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Long Beach State Beach | 15c | 135.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 76c | 135$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Long Beach State Beach | 25c | 126.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Long Beach State Beach | 29c | 124.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 76c | 117.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Long Beach State Beach | 19c | 78.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 77c | 77.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Long Beach State Beach | 23c | 57.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 74c | 57.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Long Beach State Beach | 23c | 53.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 75c | 50.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Long Beach State Beach | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 64c | 30.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 76c | 27.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 74c | 27.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 76c | 16.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Long Beach State Beachthis page
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Long Beach State Beach: O/U 146.5Over won
- Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-7.5)Long Beach State Beach won
- Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-8.5)Long Beach State Beach won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.