South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC win on 2025-10-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafdbe0e579e7c13caa4ea083df9942fa785b63e99a2639e2f4cbd495918262cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 47c | 17,300$8,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,154.27 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,150 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…4c72backed Yes | 61c | 2,826$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd148…1143backed No | 39c | 2,826$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 2,030$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 40c | 2,028$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 1,778$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.93 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 18c | 1,397$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.48 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x409c…7cd0backed No | 39c | 1,159$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5847…c1bdbacked Yes | 61c | 1,159$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 1,014$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.41 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d67…81f2backed Yes | 16c | 624.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…a062backed Yes | 63c | 595.24$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 37c | 562.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9b…79fcbacked No | 38c | 450$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…3e11backed Yes | 62c | 450$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…0543backed No | 38c | 450$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 61c | 410$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.96 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 65c | 401.21$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.34 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 38c | 383.09$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.2 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfd…a801backed Yes | 61c | 350$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…e89bbacked No | 39c | 350$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked No | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…06cbbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 63c | 212.7$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 63c | 158.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…290dbacked No | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b851backed No | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…d0adbacked Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127b…c574backed Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…56afbacked No | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc45…983abacked Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029d…043fbacked Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcafa…af52backed Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…5dbbbacked Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 62c | 115.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…01d9backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…019fbacked No | 38c | 99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 19c | 82.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 72.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68d…d66cbacked No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb80…d139backed Yes | 62c | 48.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb959…b18fbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 39c | 34.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e5…1f13backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e16…52d2backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…ee3bbacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…ce2abacked Yes | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC win on 2025-10-20?this page
- Will EC Vitória win on 2025-10-20?Yes won
- Will Santos FC vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.