Movies · resolved market
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40c694f35f608cbe51c076dc2a572638a5c46e63a21c6ae4c87f961347bdf4dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,029 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x557a…9f70backed No | 59c | 470$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5558backed Yes | 59c | 448$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.68 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed No | 41c | 440$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…ec87backed No | 41c | 431$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed Yes | 59c | 428$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.48 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed No | 62c | 419.94$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.49 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 72c | 326.95$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…44acbacked No | 68c | 320$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.6 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed Yes | 32c | 316$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 41c | 312$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 32c | 308$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.44 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed No | 68c | 304$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.72 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Yes | 56c | 231.37$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 40c | 227.96$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.38 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bc…5601backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc94…efd5backed Yes | 41c | 158$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 26c | 151.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…1553backed Yes | 20c | 105.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +401.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 28c | 82.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…f6bfbacked Yes | 68c | 79.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 57c | 76.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 18c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde4a…d152backed No | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126d…f863backed No | 48c | 47.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 28c | 38.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…abdbbacked Yes | 51c | 37.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…76a1backed Yes | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked Yes | 56c | 19.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 73c | 17.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.