MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00c6c79ff3d1bd72e46d02725579673757f0b3593fc6c26cb6f10363a9a759e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $439,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $433,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94c5…56a7backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 53,506$25,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,358.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 29,194$6,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,236.25 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 25,468$7,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,865.9 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 21,664$10,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,481.78 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 20,382$10,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,802.23 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 20,183$9,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,495.33 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 17,033$8,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,049.88 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 14,154$8,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,331.65 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 13,775$8,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,085.74 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 13,657$7,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,101.68 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 12,348$7,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,775.64 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 4c | 11,222$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.43 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…8ccfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 9,718$5,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 9,291$4,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,924.11 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 8,549$5,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.26 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 7,750$4,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,893.06 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 6,615$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 5,813$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.66 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 5,772$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 66c | 5,154$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.37 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Minnesota Twins | 74c | 5,073$3,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.94 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 4,818$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.54 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 4,650$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.37 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 3,867$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.29 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 3,666$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.94 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 3,451$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.17 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 3,095$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.47 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Toronto Blue Jays | 2c | 3,091$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 2,582$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.98 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 2,100$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.22 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.8 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,858$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.45 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,806$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.64 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minnesota Twins | 69c | 1,773$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.56 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,657$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.3 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 1,522$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,512$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 2c | 1,402$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Minnesota Twins | 76c | 1,270$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.53 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,226$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.52 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,192$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.04 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 1,168$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.75 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,066$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.24 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,065$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.46 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 1,034$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.23 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 73c | 1,020$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.77 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 971.8$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.05 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 970.06$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.99 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 968.4$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.37 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 962.28$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.39 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Minnesota Twins | 72c | 957.51$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.84 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…b115backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 903.56$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 853.39$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.07 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 841.89$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.78 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 798.8$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.09 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Minnesota Twins | 78c | 766.85$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.33 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Minnesota Twins | 24c | 747.26$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.97 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…7868backed Toronto Blue Jays | 12c | 743.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 706.42$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.34 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 699.9$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.95 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 673$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.46 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 650.64$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.31 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 614.42$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.35 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…6b6bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 596.36$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.26 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 595.42$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.94 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 587.06$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.14 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 585.67$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.58 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 583.08$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.03 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 549.98$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.49 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 549.8$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.39 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 503.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 458.16$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.24 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 421.72$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.51 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 421.1$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.78 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 416.8$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 402.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.16 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 402.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.16 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 402.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.16 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 389.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.22 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 389.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.22 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 389.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.22 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 380$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…5a3ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 8c | 354.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 347.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 339.58$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.29 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 324.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.25 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 320.88$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.06 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 320$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 301.63$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.04 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.