La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3a9569745a7b9e5f9829d0689f531cc7e97a23a3857710f4e26a6fb2c848a8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Yes | 58c | 4,473$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 42c | 3,358$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.14 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 42c | 1,749$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.19 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 1,222$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.56 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 1,078$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.41 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 45c | 1,043$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.48 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Yes | 57c | 689.46$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Yes | 57c | 513.9$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.24 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yes | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 39c | 499.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 499.93$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.01 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 44c | 499.71$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.6 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 497.62$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.35 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b43…0f61backed Yes | 57c | 495.06$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…ce94backed Yes | 47c | 427.6$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 58c | 421.29$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.68 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 326.74$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 57c | 296.48$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4963…afc9backed Yes | 61c | 227.01$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…d7cabacked Yes | 57c | 189.59$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Yes | 57c | 121.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Yes | 46c | 117.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed No | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 45c | 104.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 42c | 103$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 57c | 102.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 43c | 92.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 57c | 84.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Yes | 57c | 81.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb420…3d77backed Yes | 54c | 69.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…a838backed Yes | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…dc05backed Yes | 45c | 64.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…4812backed Yes | 53c | 63.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8068…98f5backed Yes | 46c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Yes | 54c | 53.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Yes | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Yes | 57c | 50.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…a3d3backed No | 45c | 43.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Yes | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…4a97backed Yes | 56c | 38.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…d11fbacked Yes | 53c | 37.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Yes | 41c | 35.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 38c | 35.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 56c | 34.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…49dabacked Yes | 56c | 34.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 52c | 34.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 52c | 34.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c4…93d2backed Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…c8ecbacked Yes | 57c | 34.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf6…668bbacked Yes | 57c | 32.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ae…9ba6backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…225fbacked Yes | 54c | 29.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa770…24a6backed Yes | 57c | 28.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 48c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 48c | 23.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 48c | 23.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 48c | 23.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 48c | 23.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 48c | 23.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 49c | 20.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f64…1409backed Yes | 56c | 20.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc446…5998backed Yes | 57c | 20.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 57c | 20.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8611…2c36backed No | 72c | 20.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…121fbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?this page
- Girona FC leading at halftime?No won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.