TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x99f1…dd35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.83
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.91
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.32
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.94
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.54
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.05
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.1
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.31
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.26
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.93
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Gabriela Rusebacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Sarasota: Darwin Blanch vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$5.57
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Volynets vs Donna Vekicbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Paula Badosa vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$9.45
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Iryna Shymanovich vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$14.84
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Emilio Nava vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.12
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.85
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$15.2
Barletta: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.31
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$20.61
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$20.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Eagles vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$4.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Molde FK vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$13.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.