TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Qingdao Eagles vs. Ningbo Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Qingdao Eaglesof Qingdao Eagles, Ningbo Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,304
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,939

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,304 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3eb3…4d75backed Qingdao Eagles65c7,075$4,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.161163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Qingdao Eagles63c6,811$4,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,518.6713046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ningbo Rockets44c5,251$2,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.2716828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Qingdao Eagles63c3,775$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.393745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Ningbo Rockets37c3,012$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.2437052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Ningbo Rockets50c2,277$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.895848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9892…8137backed Qingdao Eagles68c2,162$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.021952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Qingdao Eagles51c1,879$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.8554251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Ningbo Rockets43c1,767$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.3614037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ningbo Rockets34c1,708$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.3143543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ningbo Rockets35c1,661$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.4431651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Qingdao Eagles62c1,569$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.6628943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Qingdao Eagles74c1,338$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.422748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Ningbo Rockets1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Ningbo Rockets59c992.5$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.233458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Ningbo Rockets46c823.55$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.364740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Ningbo Rockets2c726.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7780%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe99b…140bbacked Qingdao Eagles72c711.63$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ningbo Rockets27c600$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16524430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Ningbo Rockets53c599.39$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.54452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Ningbo Rockets57c579.74$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.063060%18 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Qingdao Eagles70c569.98$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.991471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Ningbo Rockets50c546.06$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.556061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b7e…857ebacked Ningbo Rockets37c492.73$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb33…fadebacked Qingdao Eagles61c490.86$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.211376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30f1…e639backed Qingdao Eagles48c451.04$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.021566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Ningbo Rockets19c448$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.346137.7%23 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Ningbo Rockets52c426.68$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.039551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Qingdao Eagles52c370.13$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.832356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Ningbo Rockets41c355.41$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.63161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Ningbo Rockets47c337.8$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.286844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Ningbo Rockets48c336.73$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.365642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3b…0230backed Qingdao Eagles48c319.52$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Ningbo Rockets30c281.01$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.38037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Ningbo Rockets35c274.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.18936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Ningbo Rockets19c270$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.43551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Qingdao Eagles62c262.68$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Qingdao Eagles67c250.15$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.445271.2%37 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Ningbo Rockets16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Ningbo Rockets19c234.86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.586450%32 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Ningbo Rockets41c225.58$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4713220.5%27 W · 105 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Ningbo Rockets50c212.6$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.523145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Ningbo Rockets41c211.74$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.812634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Ningbo Rockets38c209$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0726544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f3…56aebacked Qingdao Eagles38c207.47$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.97333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Qingdao Eagles47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.184920.4%10 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ningbo Rockets45c193.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.035446.3%25 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3761…3d9dbacked Ningbo Rockets35c188.76$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Ningbo Rockets35c171.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.036116.4%10 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Qingdao Eagles69c170.43$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb743…c116backed Ningbo Rockets35c164.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.66875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Ningbo Rockets16c160$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.61435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Ningbo Rockets35c158.25$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.710926.6%29 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Qingdao Eagles60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Ningbo Rockets64c149.95$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8410634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Ningbo Rockets12c140$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82528%7 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Ningbo Rockets27c136.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.992835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6281…e326backed Qingdao Eagles64c130.66$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.261566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ningbo Rockets35c121.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2610947.7%52 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Qingdao Eagles61c115.35$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7936939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ningbo Rockets41c111.66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.625517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Qingdao Eagles59c110.27$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.05450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd6…2e40backed Ningbo Rockets44c106.87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.48540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed Ningbo Rockets47c102.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.471258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Ningbo Rockets16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Ningbo Rockets16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Ningbo Rockets16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dde…5e80backed Ningbo Rockets30c98.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Qingdao Eagles73c98.38$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.56966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Ningbo Rockets42c97.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.098544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Ningbo Rockets42c96.87$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.17944.3%35 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Ningbo Rockets30c95.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.743737.8%14 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Qingdao Eagles53c92.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.636470.3%45 W · 19 L+11.5wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Ningbo Rockets56c87.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.094374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Ningbo Rockets34c87.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3820936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2280…3780backed Qingdao Eagles61c86.28$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.654264.3%27 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Qingdao Eagles61c85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.172475%18 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Ningbo Rockets16c80$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.81735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Ningbo Rockets16c80$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Ningbo Rockets16c80$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.84045%18 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Ningbo Rockets52c78.84$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.364946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Qingdao Eagles44c75.42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.913243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Qingdao Eagles60c69.95$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.983164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Qingdao Eagles44c66.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Qingdao Eagles74c66.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.291163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e74…f274backed Qingdao Eagles53c66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.021145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Ningbo Rockets30c65.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.756848.5%33 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Ningbo Rockets40c60.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.12536%9 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Ningbo Rockets42c59.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1721535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Qingdao Eagles53c57.31$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.816142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Qingdao Eagles73c53.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.551172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Ningbo Rockets28c50.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.287247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Qingdao Eagles67c50.04$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3819748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Qingdao Eagles71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51984.2%16 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick73cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Qingdao Eagles65c47.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.65648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Ningbo Rockets41c47.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.576119.7%12 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59a1…8263backed Ningbo Rockets58c47.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.453351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b7a…52c9backed Qingdao Eagles52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Qingdao Eagles64c44.07$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.732751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Ningbo Rockets44c43.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.335628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.