South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9c563730638a66f28cd0237e5ce698d7eb5c29754e77c6712e6fbd87ec5dc7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 6c | 10,327$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.7 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 77c | 2,910$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.27 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 12c | 2,559$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.39 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 18c | 1,528$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.18 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 24c | 1,499$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.85 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 23c | 1,457$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.97 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 24c | 1,335$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.32 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 23c | 1,171$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.18 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 17c | 818.71$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.86 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 19c | 646.49$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.85 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 5c | 605.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed No | 4c | 516.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 80c | 468.97$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 29c | 447.1$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.34 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 5c | 324.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 5c | 322.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 5c | 321.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 24c | 300.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 8c | 258.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 23c | 254$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 23c | 244$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 9c | 216.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 27c | 112$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 31c | 103.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 30c | 86.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…dd35backed Yes | 76c | 85.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 24c | 78.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 28c | 72.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed No | 14c | 71.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 74c | 70.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 23c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 25c | 55.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 28c | 47.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4347…690abacked Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 74c | 27.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 70c | 21.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…e4f4backed Yes | 78c | 19.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.