Premier League · resolved market
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad832b0701b0fb7c2a0f02d542c59d3ec81dbbb60ea17b3a979e965538e60fe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 2,178$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.13 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 37c | 2,112$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.6 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes | 57c | 909$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 43c | 885.9$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.96 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 751.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 63c | 440.64$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 7c | 357$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 14c | 350.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…a3b6backed No | 78c | 229.06$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 226.13$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 24c | 204.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…8866backed Yes | 26c | 182.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 45c | 181.58$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 17c | 174.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 14c | 163.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 56c | 134.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 61c | 132.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 79c | 127.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 20c | 124.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 21c | 123.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 13c | 115.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 55c | 90.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…b2b7backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 53c | 79.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 40c | 64.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 27c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 64c | 55.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 40c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 63c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 37c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 44c | 32.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed No | 36c | 31.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 34c | 29.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 27.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 45c | 22.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88e6…8311backed No | 78c | 21.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-06?this page
- Will Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-04-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.