Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f850fde9f1718db70ad0698ed967284363cb5751cc13e3aa1aa2ce9e9ed3e9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 6,970$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.29 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 25c | 6,740$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.55 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 5,270$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 39c | 1,919$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.1 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,097$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.12 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 999.83$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.87 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 910.96$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.87 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 30c | 748.09$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.86 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 29c | 345.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.68 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 25c | 321.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.87 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 315.06$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.84 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…0b07backed No | 14c | 312.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 22c | 259.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 9c | 256.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 246.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.53 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 226.13$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.96 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…c9a0backed Yes | 69c | 218.38$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x690d…7fbebacked Yes | 69c | 216.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 74c | 203.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.31 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 72c | 200.72$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 72c | 195.59$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.64 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 73c | 195.51$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.77 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 73c | 191.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.32 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 73c | 190.76$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.3 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 73c | 190.76$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.3 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 73c | 190.76$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.3 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 73c | 190.76$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.3 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 183.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 8c | 166.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…3914backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 73c | 136.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 72c | 134.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 40c | 125.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 112.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed No | 63c | 94.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 28c | 77.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 46c | 73.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 72.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 36c | 61.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 61.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 73c | 53.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 47.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 50c | 37.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 74c | 26.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 64c | 25.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed No | 46c | 22.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 68c | 22.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 74c | 21.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 75c | 18.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 73c | 17.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 16.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 75c | 14.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-06?No won
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-04-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.