TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Watford FC win on 2026-04-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,462 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1467…4372backed No51c9,000$4,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,409.999749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes44c6,800$3,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,016.4317042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No51c4,694$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.675438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes49c4,258$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,088.364742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c3,412$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.464,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No63c2,132$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.372,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yes49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9805042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes49c1,753$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.0975850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes31c1,574$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.0716537%61 W · 104 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c1,400$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.786,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes35c1,355$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.112136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes35c1,104$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.4123556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No60c1,061$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.6920059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes11c959.55$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3521350.2%107 W · 106 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No69c831.42$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.3739555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes48c791.05$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.832,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No68c695.99$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.089058.9%53 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No54c662.8$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.810950.5%55 W · 54 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes36c631.37$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9516757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes14c529$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4161441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes48c512$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.761,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No61c509.72$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.921,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes49c502.72$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3360445.4%274 W · 330 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No75c475.8$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.885457.4%31 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c456.16$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.912,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes22c450.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes38c406.38$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4945142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes31c386.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9710655.7%59 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes21c347$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8443241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes23c341.07$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.974256.9%422 W · 320 L+46.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes7c290.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1567042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes49c286.06$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1784549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes32c271.73$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.965044%22 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc15…ae53backed Yes41c268.9$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No71c267.21$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3116753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No50c260.62$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.3117557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes39c253.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes49c242$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.581,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes31c236.91$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.149752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes47c234.48$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8545751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes49c220.01$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8196443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes50c220.01$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.041,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes23c213.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6625225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes31c212.09$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7510547.6%50 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623716.2%6 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91ca…2ab7backed Yes39c199.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes9c199.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9441343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8222242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed No62c143.1$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.381662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8628859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes31c138.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.647534.7%26 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes31c125.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8530057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No60c123.69$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5811055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No80c116.25$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7257150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x025c…b18abacked Yes13c114.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151827.8%5 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+101.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf57a…bd53backed Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes29c113.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1851516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes32c102.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6727552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes12c102.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129625%24 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013635.3%48 W · 88 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No70c101.71$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.954562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910747.7%51 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811048.2%53 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406253.2%33 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5029158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No70c96.62$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.835561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed No52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.157248.6%35 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes50c95.7$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.851,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No69c69.08$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.553262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Yes49c66.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5110949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Yes42c65.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.632846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540942.1%172 W · 237 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes49c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3817138.6%66 W · 105 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Yes45c53.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.341533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No72c51.27$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.434472.7%32 W · 12 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2461143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed No79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.510554.3%57 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205651.8%29 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes36c49.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8441956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No70c49.14$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5420651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Yes48c48.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.613347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No58c46.91$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.491,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No60c41.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8711164%71 W · 40 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ccb…604ebacked No60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2013746%63 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.333148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed No51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Yes49c39.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1910951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked No67c38.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.561546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd42…9588backed Yes40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No50c36.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8736563%230 W · 135 L+32.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes37c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1328531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf504…560bbacked No61c32.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No50c32.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.071,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad78…678cbacked No78c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.042470.8%17 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick76cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.