Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabeaee31c50bad8b33629e73709a834479662900f37ad91cf21a12bdfc50d6b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c82…8047backed No | 0c | 23,247$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 2c | 8,251$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.18 | 8,309 | 49.2%4,089 W · 4,220 L | +271.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 28c | 1,627$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.85 | 6,854 | 39.4%2,698 W · 4,156 L | +266.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 3c | 1,206$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.15 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed No | 13c | 1,118$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 4c | 653.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 19c | 649.96$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.96 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 5c | 648.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.51 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 2c | 612.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.9 | 2,272 | 14.8%336 W · 1,936 L | +52.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 20c | 611.29$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 7,231 | 9.3%675 W · 6,556 L | -1,115.6wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…75fabacked Yes | 5c | 565.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.97 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 5c | 543.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…7927backed Yes | 28c | 523.35$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.4 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 79c | 496.08$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.48 | 12,477 | 46.8%5,840 W · 6,637 L | -43.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…5447backed Yes | 3c | 495.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +263.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 20c | 446.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.32 | 575 | 27.8%160 W · 415 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef5…84c7backed Yes | 3c | 355.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.49 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4674…03cabacked Yes | 66c | 345.35$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 14c | 340.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.89 | 1,093 | 29.6%324 W · 769 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed No | 6c | 297.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 133 | 15%20 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 21c | 288.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.49 | 1,730 | 18%311 W · 1,419 L | +73.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 17c | 283.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.66 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 53c | 242.21$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…3aaebacked No | 5c | 233.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 19c | 226.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 17c | 224$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 20c | 220.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.61 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…e6f0backed Yes | 18c | 216.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.29 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 20c | 210.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 17c | 201.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.77 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +58.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…5062backed No | 8c | 198.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 19c | 197.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.13 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed No | 18c | 179.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 18c | 173.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.44 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…f22ebacked Yes | 24c | 157.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…85f4backed Yes | 7c | 151.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.76 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 22c | 150.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 18c | 149.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe945…5fbbbacked Yes | 20c | 135.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 15c | 135$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2,655 | 47.3%1,257 W · 1,398 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…f943backed Yes | 18c | 127.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 17c | 127.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 60c | 119.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 21c | 116.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…071ebacked Yes | 19c | 116.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5f…867dbacked No | 22c | 111.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 12c | 109.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 931 | 34%317 W · 614 L | +53.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 18c | 108.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 9,885 | 45.9%4,540 W · 5,345 L | -302.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed Yes | 21c | 100.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 6,111 | 49.3%3,012 W · 3,099 L | -116.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…b2b7backed Yes | 19c | 95.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 26c | 92.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Yes | 70c | 91.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 58c | 85.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…b30abacked No | 42c | 84.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…e6cfbacked Yes | 18c | 79.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…7a17backed No | 79c | 76.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 20c | 69.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…0beabacked Yes | 69c | 66.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…310cbacked Yes | 34c | 63.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…bb28backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,327 | 34.1%452 W · 875 L | +46.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 55c | 58.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…3fb9backed Yes | 72c | 56.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 73c | 56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 5,161 | 68.3%3,525 W · 1,636 L | +71.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed No | 79c | 55.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,028 | 31.3%949 W · 2,079 L | +40.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Yes | 25c | 48.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 45c | 43.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 34.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 12,879 | 20.4%2,624 W · 10,255 L | -2,688.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…4aeebacked No | 79c | 31.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…d5e9backed No | 80c | 30.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 793 | 63.4%503 W · 290 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 76c | 28.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c32…7f32backed No | 75c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…fab1backed Yes | 76c | 20.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 78c | 20.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…5318backed No | 55c | 20.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f07…c0ecbacked No | 77c | 19.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…8f6cbacked No | 78c | 18.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…137ebacked No | 80c | 17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 136 | 63.2%86 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.