Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea3af17bd950909e323ae69d8c4c2fbf07dda2c85cce4d23fc665673002c667
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d3e…2e20backed Yes | 1c | 33,238$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.66 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 1c | 32,832$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.08 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 0c | 20,560$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…fecebacked Yes | 0c | 18,002$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 261 | 42.1%110 W · 151 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Yes | 0c | 10,901$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 0c | 10,717$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 1c | 10,557$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…b7a3backed Yes | 1c | 8,298$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 13c | 1,646$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.72 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…99abbacked Yes | 2c | 1,612$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 1c | 1,352$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 19c | 1,352$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.14 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 35c | 1,154$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 1%2 W · 189 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb33…4afbbacked Yes | 1c | 809.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed Yes | 21c | 579.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…9144backed Yes | 2c | 570.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 29c | 521.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 8c | 480.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…7927backed Yes | 26c | 454.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.83 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 16c | 447.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Yes | 6c | 440$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 11c | 427.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 15c | 406.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 22c | 406.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 7c | 393.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 16c | 364.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 14c | 339.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3d…1e5abacked Yes | 4c | 317.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 5c | 301.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked No | 68c | 292.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 6c | 255.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…f22ebacked Yes | 31c | 232.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 20c | 228.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed No | 66c | 223.21$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…75fabacked Yes | 13c | 209.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…f943backed Yes | 24c | 199.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 23c | 192.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 22c | 178.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…e027backed No | 69c | 176.84$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 74c | 142.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa502…4c89backed No | 70c | 138.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 64c | 135.13$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 35c | 129.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 20c | 128.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 68c | 127.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe737…64c1backed Yes | 33c | 118.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 25c | 117.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 27c | 117.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0226…a6fabacked Yes | 10c | 106.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 67c | 104.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed Yes | 23c | 95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 40c | 93.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Yes | 32c | 93.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 156 | 26.3%41 W · 115 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 25c | 84.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 12c | 83.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 22c | 79.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 65c | 77.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…e6cfbacked Yes | 32c | 74.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 74.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3183…d6fbbacked Yes | 44c | 73.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 23c | 68.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…b2b7backed Yes | 29c | 63.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…e15abacked Yes | 30c | 61.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d3…a41dbacked Yes | 32c | 61.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…1ad7backed No | 66c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 67c | 59.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 66c | 59.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 68c | 59.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…f89cbacked Yes | 40c | 57.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 245 | 69.8%171 W · 74 L | +30.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 75c | 56.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 24c | 50.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 50.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb28…08ccbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No | 80c | 48.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…137ebacked No | 68c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 136 | 63.2%86 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…0366backed Yes | 30c | 44.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…77a7backed Yes | 32c | 43.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 41.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 36c | 41.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 74c | 39.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 27c | 38.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801a…5a2dbacked No | 79c | 35.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe945…5fbbbacked Yes | 30c | 34.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed Yes | 34c | 32.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…c61bbacked No | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 78c | 29.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 47c | 28.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd6de…d6bbbacked No | 79c | 24.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 54c | 24.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.