Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Jannik Sinner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4150869fc345f4e6fcef6ebf4c34959bd74819b253a92d5cc210c89b0fa9bf13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jannik Sinnerof Ugo Humbert, Jannik Sinner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9367…f6bebacked Ugo Humbert | 4c | 37,698$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.26 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ugo Humbert | 3c | 16,184$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.64 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Ugo Humbert | 3c | 15,000$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…b2b7backed Ugo Humbert | 4c | 12,533$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.08 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Ugo Humbert | 3c | 9,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Ugo Humbert | 1c | 6,581$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Ugo Humbert | 3c | 6,300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ugo Humbert | 3c | 6,128$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.21 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Ugo Humbert | 3c | 6,107$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.04 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Ugo Humbert | 5c | 6,079$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.9 | 148 | 22.3%33 W · 115 L | -14.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ugo Humbert | 4c | 4,271$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Ugo Humbert | 4c | 3,990$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Ugo Humbert | 4c | 3,886$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Ugo Humbert | 4c | 3,555$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Ugo Humbert | 3c | 3,396$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Ugo Humbert | 5c | 3,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ugo Humbert | 4c | 2,878$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…4e69backed Ugo Humbert | 1c | 2,495$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Ugo Humbert | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Ugo Humbert | 4c | 1,959$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…e64cbacked Ugo Humbert | 5c | 1,856$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ugo Humbert | 4c | 1,800$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…310bbacked Ugo Humbert | 5c | 1,462$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Ugo Humbert | 6c | 1,403$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Ugo Humbert | 3c | 1,008$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ugo Humbert | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Ugo Humbert | 4c | 1,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Ugo Humbert | 5c | 999.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 99 | 31.3%31 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cac…e0e9backed Ugo Humbert | 2c | 841.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Ugo Humbert | 4c | 806.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Ugo Humbert | 4c | 785.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Ugo Humbert | 4c | 742.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Ugo Humbert | 4c | 729.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Ugo Humbert | 4c | 650$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Ugo Humbert | 3c | 506.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Ugo Humbert | 4c | 497.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Ugo Humbert | 4c | 416.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Ugo Humbert | 6c | 287.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Ugo Humbert | 5c | 261.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Ugo Humbert | 4c | 255.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 284 | 42.3%120 W · 164 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Jannik Sinnerthis page
- Humbert vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs SinnerSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Humbert (+1.5)Sinner won
- Ugo Humbert vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.