TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Campinas: Gonzalo Bueno vs Bruno Fernandez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gonzalo Buenoof Gonzalo Bueno, Bruno Fernandez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,531

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Bruno Fernandez8c2,513$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.618,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Bruno Fernandez8c2,363$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.969528.1%77 W · 875 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Bruno Fernandez23c1,347$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.1328141.6%117 W · 164 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Gonzalo Bueno75c1,208$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.915848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Bruno Fernandez20c1,190$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2381,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Bruno Fernandez25c1,001$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.256726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36f7…d106backed Bruno Fernandez7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012227%33 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Bruno Fernandez14c925.36$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.221,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Bruno Fernandez11c755.49$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.154,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bruno Fernandez13c735.34$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.813,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bruno Fernandez24c599.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1473,86234.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L+92.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Gonzalo Bueno77c405.22$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.960856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Bruno Fernandez20c314$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0632031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Bruno Fernandez8c310.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.56,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x684d…e35bbacked Bruno Fernandez4c289.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.57180%0 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9386…b2b7backed Bruno Fernandez10c266.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.852568%17 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Bruno Fernandez36c265.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.181,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Bruno Fernandez23c224.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.697745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Bruno Fernandez19c220.36$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.641,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bruno Fernandez19c213.22$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.517,71047.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Gonzalo Bueno76c207.18$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.791,41855%780 W · 638 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf483…3f62backed Bruno Fernandez24c198.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.723865.8%25 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84b9…fb1cbacked Gonzalo Bueno75c197.06$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.321384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick73cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84bd…34d0backed Bruno Fernandez25c191$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7510829.6%32 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x687f…5665backed Bruno Fernandez11c156.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.02922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-68.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Bruno Fernandez13c150.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1445051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Bruno Fernandez21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8629230.5%89 W · 203 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Gonzalo Bueno77c133.2$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6435268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gonzalo Bueno79c109.12$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.682,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Gonzalo Bueno77c103.74$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.869257.6%53 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Gonzalo Bueno77c100.3$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.071,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Bruno Fernandez20c99.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9984349.8%420 W · 423 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bruno Fernandez21c99.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.211,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Gonzalo Bueno76c99.55$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8995455.5%529 W · 425 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bruno Fernandez25c86.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.438,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Gonzalo Bueno74c84.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.189164.3%573 W · 318 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Gonzalo Bueno75c79.41$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.940264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bruno Fernandez21c75.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.853,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Bruno Fernandez24c75.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1119344.6%86 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Bruno Fernandez20c69.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6120836.5%76 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Gonzalo Bueno70c68.2$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2465264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Gonzalo Bueno76c38.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3472661.8%449 W · 277 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Gonzalo Bueno78c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.74,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6b3…f8c1backed Gonzalo Bueno74c27.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2215641.7%65 W · 91 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Gonzalo Bueno73c26.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.131,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Gonzalo Bueno75c26.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6359166.7%394 W · 197 L-1.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Gonzalo Bueno76c26.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3241668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Gonzalo Bueno66c26.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.995846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7133…3fb1backed Gonzalo Bueno79c25.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.345381.1%43 W · 10 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7387…ccf1backed Gonzalo Bueno77c24.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.753154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33a…cc64backed Gonzalo Bueno76c19.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6711565.2%75 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Gonzalo Bueno80c16.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.391,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Gonzalo Bueno76c13.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3189659.6%534 W · 362 L+1.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.