Cricket · resolved market
Chennai Super Kings vs. Mumbai Indians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x031bf2d034fe427d16a71575fd593372bcde94ea4aa66194ba44a7885cc48679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chennaiof Chennai, Mumbai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Chennai | 59c | 3,380$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Mumbai | 42c | 1,960$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mumbai | 39c | 1,294$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Mumbai | 22c | 364.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…852abacked Mumbai | 45c | 351.08$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11b…c7debacked Mumbai | 43c | 235$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Chennai | 54c | 221.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…9151backed Chennai | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc039…e2e0backed Mumbai | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…6dafbacked Mumbai | 46c | 175$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Chennai | 60c | 167.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Chennai | 80c | 151.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0a…3645backed Mumbai | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Mumbai | 9c | 135$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…6395backed Mumbai | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…7220backed Chennai | 57c | 115$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…b3b1backed Chennai | 57c | 115$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…a888backed Chennai | 54c | 115$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd5…605abacked Chennai | 57c | 115$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Chennai | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ff…835dbacked Mumbai | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…c0c6backed Mumbai | 43c | 85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…471cbacked Chennai | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…3fa6backed Mumbai | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8960…7ffbbacked Chennai | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Mumbai | 43c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…5723backed Chennai | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…57eabacked Chennai | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd8…a8eebacked Mumbai | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b97…e1b1backed Mumbai | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…4bdfbacked Mumbai | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9238backed Mumbai | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb47…bfccbacked Chennai | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe801…564bbacked Chennai | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…3257backed Chennai | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.