Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2e14dac7a3ceb014ae82299635ae9034249d567d00f65191c1fd55fb126d87d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3039…8a62backed Yes | 5c | 8,015$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.86 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 77c | 3,548$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.43 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…3a2dbacked Yes | 15c | 3,469$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.41 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 3,441$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2af…227cbacked Yes | 23c | 2,948$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebea…eabcbacked Yes | 14c | 2,787$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,655$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…14dcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,635$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 4c | 2,467$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…4ee8backed Yes | 23c | 1,487$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.42 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f5…bcebbacked Yes | 15c | 1,372$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 1,299$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,286$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,251$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 78c | 1,207$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.06 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 5c | 1,196$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…5246backed Yes | 21c | 1,169$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…015dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,152$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…315fbacked No | 78c | 1,128$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.64 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,087$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 143 | 0.7%1 W · 142 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa8…c714backed Yes | 4c | 1,065$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 1,040$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 8c | 962.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 890$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 11c | 878.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd2…0562backed Yes | 2c | 855.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 2c | 800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed No | 78c | 797.62$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.83 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…d81cbacked Yes | 5c | 744.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…1e76backed Yes | 21c | 669.41$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 669$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ba…1327backed Yes | 3c | 661$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c46…7804backed Yes | 5c | 641.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 7c | 600$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…c65fbacked Yes | 3c | 576.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…6d44backed Yes | 20c | 556.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 12c | 507.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…fdfebacked Yes | 12c | 495$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 7c | 477.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Yes | 23c | 436.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…7ba5backed Yes | 10c | 429.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9627…c9b2backed Yes | 5c | 428.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 397.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 376.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2c…bce5backed Yes | 22c | 353.68$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…9f10backed Yes | 14c | 353.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…3d9cbacked Yes | 15c | 350$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…bedbbacked Yes | 6c | 340.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…24ffbacked Yes | 7c | 314.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +64%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 6c | 310$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 4c | 305$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…15d2backed Yes | 22c | 300$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 118 | 16.1%19 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 4c | 299.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…472bbacked Yes | 18c | 284.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0038…7937backed Yes | 20c | 282.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 281.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…2340backed Yes | 22c | 272.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…d9cabacked Yes | 4c | 252.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8baa…d5e0backed Yes | 17c | 219.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…64a9backed Yes | 10c | 202.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7169backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x139d…fe64backed Yes | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514c…2485backed Yes | 20c | 186.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…3ab8backed Yes | 27c | 183.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…fa9abacked Yes | 15c | 174.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked Yes | 19c | 170.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x870e…9514backed Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…d74bbacked Yes | 14c | 145.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…10c4backed Yes | 14c | 123.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…9407backed Yes | 16c | 117.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 20c | 116.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6201…75cdbacked Yes | 12c | 111.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…a391backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd92…493fbacked Yes | 13c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb16b…031bbacked Yes | 16c | 102.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 41c | 100.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…d868backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -10.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2cef…0a0fbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7717…92dbbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 15c | 98.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ec76backed Yes | 21c | 94.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…46e2backed Yes | 13c | 93.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 78c | 86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 14c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 337 | 41.2%139 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e9…d96ebacked Yes | 17c | 62.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb9…5e6ebacked Yes | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…7e45backed No | 80c | 50.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb521…217fbacked No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.