Earnings · resolved market
Will Concentrix (CNXC) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x868395f961c26281e2ab9ad2dbcf72232ef9c5617c971ea85c294d7a8f3608df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes | 66c | 224.04$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.37 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 65c | 131.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 20c | 116.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda92…e096backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3356…b404backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes | 62c | 99.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…34c7backed No | 38c | 84.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 35c | 74.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…416abacked No | 32c | 66.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c16…9a13backed No | 33c | 62.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…5d91backed Yes | 64c | 62.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 66c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa90e…30efbacked No | 36c | 51.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked Yes | 64c | 46.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…3655backed No | 37c | 45.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac2…4fcfbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed No | 54c | 43.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 34c | 42.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…6fc4backed Yes | 65c | 27.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 75cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…4940backed Yes | 42c | 24.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7af…1645backed No | 54c | 24.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…3fb3backed Yes | 66c | 18.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe126…a452backed Yes | 68c | 17.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eff…6c34backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.