Lol · resolved market
Will Gen.G complete the League of Legends “Golden Road” in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd17453f83cd10bf3fa5fc46b30d23a7abc3d66da7aa3dc961187d30506573db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,749 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Yes | 21c | 9,525$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 4,347$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed No | 80c | 4,154$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.81 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…1a62backed Yes | 20c | 1,800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes | 31c | 1,786$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 113 | 39.8%45 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed No | 76c | 1,067$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.09 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…36b7backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked No | 69c | 896$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde62…64f6backed No | 69c | 890$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 21c | 667.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 652.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed Yes | 19c | 499.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef3d…0416backed Yes | 20c | 498.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…4eb3backed Yes | 20c | 490$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Yes | 21c | 480$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7c…c08ebacked Yes | 16c | 447.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560c…4755backed Yes | 24c | 424.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 10c | 326.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…9c74backed Yes | 18c | 319$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b50ebacked Yes | 34c | 295.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 18c | 290$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 22c | 259.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 4c | 250.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…0314backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0015…d5b0backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…ae12backed Yes | 30c | 167.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafda…0fccbacked No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…8602backed Yes | 20c | 148.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x618b…f937backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Yes | 19c | 106.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…22ffbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +122%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…f7c0backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…f3dbbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 22c | 84.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…fa39backed No | 79c | 79.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 21c | 72.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b8…e3e1backed No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed No | 73c | 68.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad21…2902backed Yes | 20c | 65.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…4dc6backed Yes | 19c | 60.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…b0a7backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…473dbacked No | 79c | 53.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…3ecebacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 23c | 49.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 25c | 45.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…3412backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 75c | 23.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed No | 63c | 17.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 78c | 16.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed No | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 127 | 32.3%41 W · 86 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf598…73e8backed No | 79c | 12.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.58 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 72cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…75ecbacked No | 79c | 12.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…1105backed No | 79c | 12.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…294fbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.