Golf · resolved market
The Masters 2026: Bryson DeChambeau vs. Jon Rahm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e14444ec2ac156ef41d1c182e66a26a92e979307842134a3a994ee4bc94f644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rahmof DeChambeau, Rahm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed DeChambeau | 7c | 549.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rahm | 69c | 279.76$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed DeChambeau | 44c | 218.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Rahm | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9601…bd5dbacked DeChambeau | 12c | 190$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rahm | 77c | 122.44$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed DeChambeau | 26c | 119$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked DeChambeau | 43c | 95.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Rahm | 50c | 93.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Rahm | 48c | 89.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa881…71bfbacked DeChambeau | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Rahm | 55c | 63.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…a9b4backed DeChambeau | 45c | 56.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…2862backed DeChambeau | 43c | 56.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…b1dcbacked Rahm | 56c | 48.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Rahm | 55c | 46.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…30a6backed DeChambeau | 44c | 44.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…c346backed DeChambeau | 47c | 41.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Rahm | 53c | 36.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…62f4backed DeChambeau | 47c | 31.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…8685backed DeChambeau | 46c | 23.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.