Ukraine · resolved market
More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12f5f3c1b0776a92119c1da71ed8358b534cb2da5f90b1dc632bf48b6a32cbdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 78c | 2,215$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.82 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 16c | 1,404$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.4 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 69c | 1,269$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.12 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,266$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 66c | 1,200$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.34 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 50c | 1,033$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.07 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 47c | 985.57$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.39 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed Yes | 53c | 897.13$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 11c | 856$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.34 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…e9cbbacked Yes | 56c | 769.71$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d0…9e65backed No | 43c | 769.05$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.43 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed No | 34c | 698.19$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.79 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…38b2backed No | 3c | 646.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed No | 40c | 626.3$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.92 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed Yes | 53c | 610.71$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 22c | 572.13$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…2454backed No | 46c | 524.77$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…a8f6backed No | 46c | 495.04$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 55c | 486.84$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.98 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 38c | 472.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 36c | 438.79$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.84 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 42c | 399.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 73c | 362.81$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 41c | 358$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 55c | 352.09$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.81 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 287$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 23c | 278.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 59c | 270.48$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da5…c955backed No | 37c | 269.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 43c | 248.88$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 23c | 241.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 73c | 225.83$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 59c | 220$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981a…9108backed No | 41c | 218.61$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7c…20a6backed No | 46c | 216.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 48c | 210.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 61c | 195.83$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5e…3805backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd9…43f5backed No | 36c | 167$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d8…e6afbacked Yes | 53c | 162.43$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…e350backed No | 59c | 161$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…d3eabacked No | 41c | 156$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 46c | 155.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 41c | 154.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…3cf0backed No | 40c | 150.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7083…49f9backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…db87backed Yes | 72c | 139.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…ec1ebacked No | 45c | 139.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…b1ccbacked Yes | 55c | 136.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 58c | 135$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…fa64backed No | 40c | 134.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +150.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…9b5fbacked No | 41c | 134.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 76c | 127.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…123bbacked Yes | 50c | 119.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6074…f9f7backed No | 43c | 115.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 26c | 113.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…5d01backed No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf865…436bbacked No | 45c | 104.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcca…da80backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…a3acbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…677fbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed Yes | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 55c | 98.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 24c | 96.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…652abacked Yes | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8199…bb6dbacked Yes | 45c | 86.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.34per pick | 45cpaid | +98%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed No | 47c | 86.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6574…9364backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 59c | 84.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked No | 41c | 80.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed Yes | 56c | 67.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 61.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc652…11b1backed Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…39b1backed Yes | 58c | 57.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…21f5backed No | 36c | 57.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…df43backed No | 34c | 57.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 66c | 57.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 65c | 52.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…8384backed Yes | 62c | 52.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6a5cbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…1f8fbacked No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed Yes | 56c | 49.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2484…6dfcbacked No | 44c | 45.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…7a67backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe014…478cbacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…4fd7backed Yes | 53c | 41.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 113 | 22.1%25 W · 88 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf493…f4f6backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.