WNBA · resolved market
Next dildo thrown onto WNBA court is green/yellow?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaecd8fa386e08299257202f3eac13dd267a9dc2038f9ead119aea1737731fcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3fa…ba98backed Yes | 0c | 16,948$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec8…097bbacked Yes | 5c | 915.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…b56dbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 4c | 299.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…a9c6backed Yes | 71c | 142.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 21c | 121.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…f1e2backed Yes | 52c | 120.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cd…cc33backed No | 71c | 72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 50c | 62.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…4f9dbacked No | 42c | 43.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…02edbacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b31…6a30backed No | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…856ebacked No | 63c | 31.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 38c | 30.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…ad8bbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Yes | 63c | 17.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.