CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x233eb69a64ab1fffd327cebcfccac6856382739b9c95c9daf68a2289e5df024b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, STATE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked STATE | 1c | 2,600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 76c | 2,458$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.39 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…9407backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 1,678$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.91 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked STATE | 27c | 1,372$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.7 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked STATE | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed STATE | 38c | 1,120$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.85 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed STATE | 24c | 1,100$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed STATE | 26c | 1,067$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.05 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed STATE | 26c | 1,054$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.26 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed ex-RUBY | 70c | 1,011$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.12 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed STATE | 1c | 947.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked STATE | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed ex-RUBY | 72c | 799.99$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 776.98$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.64 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 766.7$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.91 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed STATE | 26c | 730.2$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.79 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed ex-RUBY | 72c | 715.48$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.99 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked STATE | 34c | 651.01$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.35 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed STATE | 8c | 577.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed STATE | 29c | 559.68$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.94 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed STATE | 45c | 557.41$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.46 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked STATE | 46c | 505.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.76 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…f38bbacked STATE | 54c | 487.63$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.51 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked STATE | 36c | 486.71$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.29 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed STATE | 30c | 437.97$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.07 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 433.14$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.24 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked STATE | 33c | 414.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.56 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked ex-RUBY | 74c | 403.09$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed STATE | 44c | 399.83$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed STATE | 45c | 380$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-RUBY | 49c | 379.75$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.81 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked STATE | 26c | 366.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked STATE | 52c | 354.81$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.85 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked STATE | 48c | 347.36$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.18 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed STATE | 25c | 340.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed STATE | 57c | 316$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.25 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked STATE | 46c | 301.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked STATE | 25c | 291.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked ex-RUBY | 62c | 290.83$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked STATE | 24c | 255.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed STATE | 39c | 250.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…b3debacked STATE | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…3314backed STATE | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed STATE | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked ex-RUBY | 59c | 184.68$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 177.95$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed STATE | 27c | 177.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 176.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 174.2$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked ex-RUBY | 62c | 167.03$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed STATE | 46c | 164.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…69d7backed STATE | 12c | 160.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…7c83backed STATE | 42c | 142$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfd…cd33backed STATE | 22c | 139.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUBY | 71c | 139.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked STATE | 29c | 139.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…eb5ebacked ex-RUBY | 76c | 128.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked STATE | 50c | 111.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked STATE | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed STATE | 25c | 99.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed STATE | 47c | 99.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed STATE | 45c | 99.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed STATE | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc75…5431backed STATE | 47c | 94.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…58c9backed STATE | 47c | 94.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed ex-RUBY | 73c | 92.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed STATE | 28c | 89.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed STATE | 24c | 88.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed STATE | 24c | 88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed STATE | 53c | 76.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 70.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed STATE | 49c | 67.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed STATE | 49c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed ex-RUBY | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed ex-RUBY | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed ex-RUBY | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed STATE | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked STATE | 46c | 57.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked STATE | 56c | 56.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked STATE | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed STATE | 33c | 49.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked STATE | 32c | 49.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ex-RUBY | 69c | 48.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed ex-RUBY | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked ex-RUBY | 78c | 48.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed STATE | 45c | 44.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…f180backed STATE | 39c | 43.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…6b69backed ex-RUBY | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 95 | 68.4%65 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…3dd3backed STATE | 52c | 36.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c50…686cbacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed ex-RUBY | 72c | 34.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked ex-RUBY | 74c | 34.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked STATE | 37c | 32.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked ex-RUBY | 71c | 32.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked STATE | 58c | 29.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed STATE | 46c | 28.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked ex-RUBY | 42c | 28.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 26.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs STATE - Map 1 WinnerSTATE won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs STATE - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.