TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monteof Monte, magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,847 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked Monte59c15,000$8,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,15076058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed magic41c9,881$4,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,051.3233343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked magic37c6,701$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.6759839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed magic41c5,686$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,33846149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked magic44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1007441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Monte56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88033452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed magic33c1,764$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.881428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed magic45c1,561$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.238947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Monte57c1,500$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.1255845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed magic25c1,490$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.8244939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Monte74c1,482$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.351,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Monte62c1,477$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.427658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Monte73c1,463$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.51,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Monte75c1,334$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.1334156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked magic14c972.72$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510532.4%34 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Monte60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked magic26c821.04$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.953,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Monte60c817.5$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.565650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked magic41c808.35$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.6829839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed magic41c778.89$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.3420349.3%100 W · 103 L-12.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed magic26c767.11$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.76,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed magic14c750$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed magic12c700$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8441716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Monte69c692.88$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.654,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed magic26c674.96$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4987047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Monte59c584.18$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.5132346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked magic12c550$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6628657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic44c525.35$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.155,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Monte55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22512045%54 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed magic40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Monte63c500$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.264,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed magic41c499.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9918442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed magic34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1362,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed magic38c399.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Monte78c395.77$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.471,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Monte56c391.27$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2655843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed magic24c342.12$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.794,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed magic11c318.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3522757.3%130 W · 97 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed magic10c309.92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.984,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed magic29c303$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.455,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Monte55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Monte61c260$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.448845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc882…0662backed magic42c260$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.213333.1%44 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6754…e4fcbacked Monte60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009153.8%49 W · 42 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+123.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab1a…4620backed Monte59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.511451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed magic32c239.09$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.729831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked magic18c220.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.454,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked magic31c211.52$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2748319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1991…348ebacked Monte74c180$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4719150.3%96 W · 95 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked Monte77c154.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.277054.3%38 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic30c143.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.445,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f79…abbbbacked magic17c133.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57018.6%13 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Monte60c132.05$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked magic41c128$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4884037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed magic17c125.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.771,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked magic17c124.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.182,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00de…18a7backed Monte59c118.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.646960.9%42 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3600…f72bbacked Monte63c111.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1131950.5%161 W · 158 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Monte59c103.39$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.391,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed magic22c102.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510725.2%27 W · 80 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff09…80b5backed magic41c101.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5118530.3%56 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Monte55c101.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.568246.3%38 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked magic44c97.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8911249.1%55 W · 57 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked magic40c88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.232552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked magic12c86.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Monte66c82.21$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.953,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f8…e03abacked magic15c81.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-61.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Monte56c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.218352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked magic35c78.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4640140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Monte56c77.53$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1114044.3%62 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked magic17c70$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.941516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Monte59c65.01$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.942,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked Monte62c57.68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.658949.4%44 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed magic44c56.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.862,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Monte55c54.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7554348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed magic38c52.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Monte72c50.06$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2478963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed Monte63c46.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2316155.9%90 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc322…d113backed Monte61c42.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.621154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed Monte59c39.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2858762.2%365 W · 222 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52cd…85fbbacked Monte59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.936541.9%153 W · 212 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b37…039dbacked magic39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Monte59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.320851.9%108 W · 100 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Monte55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.278146.9%38 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7126…202ebacked Monte78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Monte75c25.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2867372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xcc4e…c150backed Monte60c25.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1516856%94 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed Monte75c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631372.8%228 W · 85 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed Monte68c23.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.439756.7%55 W · 42 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe013…764fbacked Monte59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.27361.6%45 W · 28 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.