Lol · resolved market
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb78c2a1f10ec933095bf14595908f8f72e9b3d4f6769ea3adace661bcc2e3dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GMBLERS ESPORTSof GMBLERS ESPORTS, Zena Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 78c | 1,130$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.91 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Zena Esports | 44c | 758.26$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.12 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Zena Esports | 36c | 562.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 62c | 318.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.47 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 47c | 285.02$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.33 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…4ca9backed Zena Esports | 47c | 257.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 61c | 207.1$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Zena Esports | 44c | 199.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…37ddbacked Zena Esports | 52c | 180$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed Zena Esports | 54c | 174.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 383 | 42.8%164 W · 219 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 45c | 162.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 48c | 156.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…70b9backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 24c | 143.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Zena Esports | 34c | 135.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 54c | 115.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Zena Esports | 11c | 102$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 55c | 98.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Zena Esports | 18c | 93.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Zena Esports | 41c | 82.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 36c | 64.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 55c | 56.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…f167backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 58c | 51.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 50c | 47.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 57c | 46.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Zena Esports | 36c | 41.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 48c | 35.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Zena Esports | 61c | 30.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…ed6fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 66c | 29.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Zena Esports | 52c | 28.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Zena Esports | 69c | 27.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Zena Esports | 48c | 27.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +24.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Zena Esports | 59c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Zena Esports | 41c | 24.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Zena Esports | 55c | 21.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 67c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1192backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 60c | 17.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GMB (-1.5) vs Zena Esports (+1.5)Zena Esports won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO5) - LIT PlayoffsGMBLERS ESPORTS won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 1 WinnerZena Esports won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 3 WinnerZena Esports won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 4 WinnerGMBLERS ESPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.