Lol · resolved market
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56c5e0bc3d801af73749433a369f0acf3069f942664375c4632115f7a7f0949b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GMBLERS ESPORTSof GMBLERS ESPORTS, Zena Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7441…cb79backed Zena Esports | 2c | 6,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…c204backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Zena Esports | 59c | 1,292$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.84 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Zena Esports | 42c | 841.42$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.4 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 57c | 551.34$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.13 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…92d6backed Zena Esports | 61c | 513.06$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.21 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 480.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.36 | 379 | 33.5%127 W · 252 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 51c | 451.66$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 42c | 393.64$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 533 | 38.6%206 W · 327 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Zena Esports | 42c | 389.25$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.88 | 280 | 48.6%136 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Zena Esports | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Zena Esports | 41c | 221$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5280…4d8ebacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 57c | 195.63$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Zena Esports | 43c | 181.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 397 | 55.4%220 W · 177 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…2d1fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 57c | 174.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Zena Esports | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x632f…4fcbbacked Zena Esports | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Zena Esports | 42c | 94.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 51c | 90.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed Zena Esports | 40c | 79.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zena Esports | 43c | 78.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…f167backed Zena Esports | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Zena Esports | 38c | 62.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Zena Esports | 49c | 61.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 238 | 48.7%116 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…232abacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 58c | 61.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 60c | 43.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 58c | 42.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 997 | 56.6%564 W · 433 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eed…5a1cbacked Zena Esports | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked Zena Esports | 61c | 41.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…bdd7backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 134 | 21.6%29 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Zena Esports | 42c | 38.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Zena Esports | 40c | 31.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 230 | 23%53 W · 177 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 60c | 31.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 49c | 30.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,257 | 52.8%664 W · 593 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…7d49backed Zena Esports | 74c | 29.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 43 | 81.4%35 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…eeaebacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 62c | 16.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GMB (-1.5) vs Zena Esports (+1.5)Zena Esports won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO5) - LIT PlayoffsGMBLERS ESPORTS won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 1 WinnerZena Esports won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 2 WinnerGMBLERS ESPORTS won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 3 WinnerZena Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.