Lol · resolved market
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc49d065b9d2f44a6155402ec3ceb082a98ecbd7fed6eec4454ee8a870837cc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zena Esportsof GMBLERS ESPORTS, Zena Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x109b…935fbacked Zena Esports | 70c | 426.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 13c | 240$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 31c | 230$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 33c | 213.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 33c | 203.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Zena Esports | 44c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 34c | 164.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Zena Esports | 62c | 159.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 19c | 159$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Zena Esports | 34c | 116.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eed…5a1cbacked Zena Esports | 46c | 109$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Zena Esports | 47c | 106.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 627 | 39.9%250 W · 377 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Zena Esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 55c | 98.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 54c | 95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 57c | 93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…37ddbacked Zena Esports | 77c | 78.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 30c | 69.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Zena Esports | 68c | 58.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…bde7backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 78c | 38.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 249 | 60.2%150 W · 99 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1192backed Zena Esports | 54c | 35.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 51c | 35.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 59c | 30.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 58c | 28.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8898…e3b8backed Zena Esports | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…f167backed Zena Esports | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked Zena Esports | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 311 | 59.8%186 W · 125 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Zena Esports | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 164 | 62.8%103 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GMB (-1.5) vs Zena Esports (+1.5)Zena Esports won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO5) - LIT PlayoffsGMBLERS ESPORTS won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 2 WinnerGMBLERS ESPORTS won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 3 WinnerZena Esports won
- LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 4 WinnerGMBLERS ESPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.