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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hanwha Life Esportsof Hanwha Life Esports, DN SOOPers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$231,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3445…d229backed DN SOOPers0c23,000$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685893.6%21 W · 568 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+176%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed DN SOOPers0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157989.6%77 W · 721 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed DN SOOPers13c13,919$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.4518548.1%89 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed DN SOOPers25c12,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9560449.8%301 W · 303 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed DN SOOPers24c8,379$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.7853750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked DN SOOPers14c6,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9949541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked DN SOOPers1c5,436$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.022147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick31cpaid+51.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed DN SOOPers14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70057945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Hanwha Life Esports76c3,600$2,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.9868653.2%365 W · 321 L+24.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Hanwha Life Esports60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed DN SOOPers14c2,874$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.591,64240.2%660 W · 982 L+48.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked DN SOOPers14c2,857$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40077830.2%235 W · 543 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Hanwha Life Esports75c2,805$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.9546637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Hanwha Life Esports80c2,727$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.1586943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed DN SOOPers15c2,700$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40544335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7db…6129backed DN SOOPers5c2,651$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.853933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed DN SOOPers14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,48328.9%428 W · 1,055 L+23.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Hanwha Life Esports79c1,830$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.031,54962.8%972 W · 577 L+161.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed DN SOOPers20c1,805$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.2952848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed DN SOOPers20c1,802$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.741,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Hanwha Life Esports75c1,769$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.4667477%519 W · 155 L+87.9wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb845…ca23backed DN SOOPers19c1,500$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.687628.9%22 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed DN SOOPers40c1,500$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.7385050.1%426 W · 424 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed DN SOOPers14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20043739.6%173 W · 264 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed DN SOOPers10c1,421$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.27684.4%3 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-61%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked DN SOOPers24c1,310$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.6390442.9%388 W · 516 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Hanwha Life Esports62c1,265$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.8615334.6%53 W · 100 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed DN SOOPers26c1,069$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.392,27933%753 W · 1,526 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed DN SOOPers20c1,010$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20077039.6%305 W · 465 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb8…aa5fbacked DN SOOPers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102311.7%4 W · 227 L-0.6wins0.00per pick2cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed DN SOOPers14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed DN SOOPers17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702,38532.1%765 W · 1,620 L+44.7wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked DN SOOPers15c999.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed DN SOOPers13c999.96$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,19544.4%531 W · 664 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked DN SOOPers24c899.97$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9950242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…5808backed Hanwha Life Esports70c883.57$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.4212446%57 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Hanwha Life Esports73c800$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2161,23648.5%600 W · 636 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74a0…1be2backed Hanwha Life Esports76c780.01$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3118656.5%105 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed DN SOOPers26c742.22$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.827532%24 W · 51 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed DN SOOPers17c742.03$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.361,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2ab…3d8bbacked Hanwha Life Esports69c736.37$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.985530.9%17 W · 38 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-36.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked DN SOOPers10c701.19$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0236040.6%146 W · 214 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked DN SOOPers14c699.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,11452.3%583 W · 531 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked DN SOOPers13c692.31$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9079955.2%441 W · 358 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed DN SOOPers12c663.4$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2243642.4%185 W · 251 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed DN SOOPers15c661.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Hanwha Life Esports75c655.6$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.521,19951.8%621 W · 578 L-15.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2051…f9f1backed Hanwha Life Esports71c561.14$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1449253.5%263 W · 229 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed DN SOOPers6c549.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341,5303.3%50 W · 1,480 L-54.3wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked Hanwha Life Esports72c549.54$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3471657%408 W · 308 L+41.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ee8…b7b6backed DN SOOPers19c538.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010347.6%49 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed DN SOOPers14c509$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.261,43743.6%627 W · 810 L-5.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed DN SOOPers21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10542924.2%104 W · 325 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1d…4c70backed DN SOOPers37c500$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1842560%15 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6bb…c0aabacked Hanwha Life Esports75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12533458.4%195 W · 139 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed DN SOOPers23c473.71$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.432,92638.4%1,125 W · 1,801 L-122.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked DN SOOPers24c453.68$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9726844%118 W · 150 L-37.1wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed DN SOOPers12c439.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4138835.3%137 W · 251 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Hanwha Life Esports69c432.48$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2757947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked Hanwha Life Esports76c431.14$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2843358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed DN SOOPers24c429.21$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.792,00548.3%969 W · 1,036 L+25.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Hanwha Life Esports73c417.82$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8235159.5%209 W · 142 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4384…175fbacked DN SOOPers3c414$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.28527.7%4 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed DN SOOPers27c407.44$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.431,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed DN SOOPers6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2475738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed DN SOOPers16c365$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.851,31326.4%346 W · 967 L+63.8wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe52c…016abacked DN SOOPers6c300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Hanwha Life Esports66c299.97$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9994237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cc2…bf53backed DN SOOPers17c290.76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.431421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked DN SOOPers20c288.51$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9413535.6%48 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Hanwha Life Esports72c288$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6433748.4%163 W · 174 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked DN SOOPers24c257.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.481,49443.6%651 W · 843 L-31.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked DN SOOPers24c256.94$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3242250%211 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed DN SOOPers39c255.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033052.1%172 W · 158 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5124…4500backed DN SOOPers17c251.05$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4812727.6%35 W · 92 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked DN SOOPers14c249.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3522930.6%70 W · 159 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed DN SOOPers21c241.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4614336.4%52 W · 91 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed DN SOOPers13c230$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.954824.3%133 W · 415 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed DN SOOPers26c202.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.223,20634%1,089 W · 2,117 L-150.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7253…5fa2backed DN SOOPers16c202.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0210945%49 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Hanwha Life Esports76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4894134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d07…8b9ebacked DN SOOPers14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2844047.5%209 W · 231 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bba…520ebacked Hanwha Life Esports76c200$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb890…9847backed DN SOOPers14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Hanwha Life Esports75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018348.1%88 W · 95 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Hanwha Life Esports79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4236660.1%220 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed Hanwha Life Esports72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5630243%130 W · 172 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef1…e845backed DN SOOPers13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed DN SOOPers24c198.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6336647.3%173 W · 193 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e8…ef2bbacked DN SOOPers17c180.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3066655.9%372 W · 294 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed DN SOOPers31c170$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.941,68347%791 W · 892 L-24.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc52f…0981backed Hanwha Life Esports71c168.23$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2341468.4%283 W · 131 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4484…9defbacked DN SOOPers11c153.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.842035%7 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ef9…7a60backed DN SOOPers9c150$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1314437.5%54 W · 90 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2f1…1c7abacked DN SOOPers26c149.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.952429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Hanwha Life Esports70c145.71$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7152662%326 W · 200 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed DN SOOPers14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032142.1%135 W · 186 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb97f…8020backed Hanwha Life Esports71c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.64959.2%29 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+51.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Hanwha Life Esports72c139.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7921946.6%102 W · 117 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed DN SOOPers15c135$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2546143.8%202 W · 259 L-33.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.