Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c4b96c096f4465d9c5faffb10210507bd25f353fa71951048a30076085e3ada
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 25c | 3,200$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.81 | 597 | 50.4%301 W · 296 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 23c | 2,052$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.94 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 77c | 1,900$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 72c | 416.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Over | 28c | 363.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…b7c4backed Over | 33c | 204.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 75c | 152$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Under | 76c | 139.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 77c | 133.69$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 1,097 | 52.3%574 W · 523 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 74c | 130$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 74c | 119.96$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 62c | 117.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 28c | 86.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 228 | 40.8%93 W · 135 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 24c | 80.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 62c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…38d2backed Over | 25c | 50.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 24c | 49.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…855abacked Under | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Under | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 65c | 29.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…9f57backed Under | 76c | 29.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 69c | 28.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…1920backed Under | 63c | 15.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 202 | 69.3%140 W · 62 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.