TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7069…38d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+134.8%+$113.93
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+223.1%+$115.74
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+263.5%+$86.27
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.75
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.63
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.61
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$170.03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.68
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$154.35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.01
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+123.6%+$28.53
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.15
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-69.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+120.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+54.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+209.6%+$29.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+197.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+197.4%+$30.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$74.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$80.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.