Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x296502f1aa88b4b5a98923f394652ef6938c277f7f84caf08a5d7f703ee580fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 21c | 19,011$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,992.31 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Under | 79c | 18,210$14,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.81 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Under | 79c | 2,300$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.92 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Over | 21c | 1,652$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Under | 79c | 1,043$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.43 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Over | 21c | 609$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Under | 79c | 519.36$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.47 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…4b48backed Over | 19c | 323$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed Over | 20c | 293$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 21c | 260.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 79c | 256.33$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 21c | 240$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Over | 24c | 157.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 24c | 155.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2642backed Over | 21c | 111.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 23c | 99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Under | 77c | 81.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked Over | 21c | 77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…38d2backed Over | 25c | 76.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 23c | 73.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Over | 21c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Under | 79c | 45.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…7782backed Under | 79c | 45.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Under | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…e6e6backed Under | 79c | 27.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 29 | 89.7%26 W · 3 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)Misa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.