Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c82b38c67a1238f29b793b85623a5b74725694577fd877cb75e83d3eeb43c30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, PCIFIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Misa Esports | 75c | 15,979$12,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.08 | 1,517 | 50.6%767 W · 750 L | +75.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked PCIFIC | 25c | 15,957$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,974.97 | 1,548 | 54.8%849 W · 699 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Misa Esports | 75c | 10,437$7,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.64 | 413 | 69.7%288 W · 125 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked PCIFIC | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed PCIFIC | 21c | 2,260$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.52 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked PCIFIC | 21c | 2,139$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.33 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 1,791$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.87 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked PCIFIC | 29c | 1,500$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.9 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed PCIFIC | 21c | 838.1$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed PCIFIC | 28c | 688.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.62 | 655 | 43.1%282 W · 373 L | -28.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed PCIFIC | 22c | 661.11$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -10.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed PCIFIC | 22c | 590.91$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 264 | 42.8%113 W · 151 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed PCIFIC | 28c | 307.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 2,202 | 53.5%1,178 W · 1,024 L | +63.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Misa Esports | 78c | 299.68$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed PCIFIC | 21c | 227.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked PCIFIC | 22c | 205$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed PCIFIC | 27c | 182.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c35…7764backed Misa Esports | 72c | 152.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Misa Esports | 72c | 145.06$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed PCIFIC | 25c | 135.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked PCIFIC | 26c | 126.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked PCIFIC | 23c | 116$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Misa Esports | 73c | 108.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 126 | 69.8%88 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…12e2backed Misa Esports | 73c | 107.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Misa Esports | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed PCIFIC | 24c | 97.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Misa Esports | 74c | 82.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Misa Esports | 74c | 73.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 1,026 | 47.9%491 W · 535 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed PCIFIC | 22c | 73.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 252 | 34.9%88 W · 164 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Misa Esports | 75c | 72.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…7782backed Misa Esports | 79c | 69.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed Misa Esports | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked PCIFIC | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Misa Esports | 78c | 62.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 1,398 | 49.4%691 W · 707 L | -20.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed PCIFIC | 25c | 60.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Misa Esports | 74c | 59.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed PCIFIC | 25c | 52.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 470 | 41.3%194 W · 276 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Misa Esports | 74c | 47.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 70 | 70%49 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Misa Esports | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 361 | 47.6%172 W · 189 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Misa Esports | 74c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Misa Esports | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 514 | 56.2%289 W · 225 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Misa Esports | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Misa Esports | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Misa Esports | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Misa Esports | 77c | 22.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…a5aabacked Misa Esports | 72c | 20.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Misa Esports | 76c | 18.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Misa Esports | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cb…feefbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.