Lol · resolved market
LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb85e821a4583a52715fc9083fad92b250d1db8b207adba1413e9a1aee6d5151a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, PCIFIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked PCIFIC | 14c | 28,948$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.44 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked PCIFIC | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PCIFIC | 9c | 1,791$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.09 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed PCIFIC | 17c | 1,619$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.59 | 642 | 43%276 W · 366 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed PCIFIC | 12c | 1,609$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked PCIFIC | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.94 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c8…a9ffbacked PCIFIC | 10c | 1,189$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked PCIFIC | 15c | 1,167$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked PCIFIC | 16c | 1,092$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.06 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…63f4backed PCIFIC | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 450 | 42.2%190 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed PCIFIC | 13c | 928.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked PCIFIC | 10c | 705$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed PCIFIC | 12c | 682.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 437 | 39.8%174 W · 263 L | -23.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PCIFIC | 9c | 625.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 2,336 | 40.4%943 W · 1,393 L | -58.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked PCIFIC | 15c | 583.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed PCIFIC | 15c | 583.3$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PCIFIC | 9c | 473.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 1,536 | 43.8%672 W · 864 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc297…b1eabacked PCIFIC | 12c | 350.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…5a2cbacked PCIFIC | 12c | 319$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked PCIFIC | 10c | 280$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 404 | 41.8%169 W · 235 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed PCIFIC | 16c | 237.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 311 | 37.6%117 W · 194 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed PCIFIC | 12c | 198.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PCIFIC | 10c | 192.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed PCIFIC | 9c | 192$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed PCIFIC | 11c | 166.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed PCIFIC | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked PCIFIC | 13c | 139.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PCIFIC | 9c | 134.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked PCIFIC | 15c | 109.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PCIFIC | 12c | 108.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa6…2e8cbacked PCIFIC | 10c | 106$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed PCIFIC | 14c | 103.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed PCIFIC | 12c | 100.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…aec1backed PCIFIC | 15c | 85.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)Misa Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.